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POLL: Strategic Vision (R) Iowa Primary


A new Strategic Vision (R) statewide survey of likely voters in Iowa (conducted 12/26 through 12/27) finds:

  • Among 600 likely Republican caucus goers in Iowa, former Gov. Mike Huckabee runs at 29%, former Gov. Mitt Romney at 27% in a statewide caucus; former Sen. Fred Thompson trails at 15%, Sen. John McCain at 14%.
  • Among 600 likely Democratic caucus goers, Sen. Barack Obama runs at 30%, Sen. Hillary Clinton at 29%, former Sen. John Edwards at 28% in a statewide caucus; Sen. Joe Biden trails at 5%.
  • All other candidates receive less than five percent each. The margin of sampling error for both subgroups is 4%.

 

Comments
Paul:

McCain: +6 from week prior. We shall see if any McCain move materializes next week at the caucus. We also need to remember that candidates with caucus results of less than 15% are dropped from the next ballot at each caucus site so McCain at 14 is really borderline. Perhaps an expert on how statewide caucus results are reported could comment.

____________________

Steve:

Paul, the 15% rule is only for the Democrat's caucus. The rules are different on the Republican side. The GOP is a simple vote.

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Andrew:

Well, I read something here about polls conducted around Christmas and New Year to be less reliable than others conducted in different periods, according to a slight majority of experts, so I would be careful with this one.

____________________

Wanda DeBarge:

John Edwards is the only
Democratic Canidate that represents the
middle class. His sincerity and experience
will be a tremendous plus for the American
People. He not only has my vote, but I will
canvas when he comes to California to get him
elected. It is about time that Middle-Class
Americans are represented.

____________________



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