POLL: Strategic Vision (R) Iowa Primary
Eric Dienstfrey | December 27, 2007
A new Strategic Vision (R) statewide survey of likely voters in Iowa (conducted 12/26 through 12/27) finds:
- Among 600 likely Republican caucus goers in Iowa, former Gov. Mike Huckabee runs at 29%, former Gov. Mitt Romney at 27% in a statewide caucus; former Sen. Fred Thompson trails at 15%, Sen. John McCain at 14%.
- Among 600 likely Democratic caucus goers, Sen. Barack Obama runs at 30%, Sen. Hillary Clinton at 29%, former Sen. John Edwards at 28% in a statewide caucus; Sen. Joe Biden trails at 5%.
- All other candidates receive less than five percent each. The margin of sampling error for both subgroups is 4%.
By Eric Dienstfrey | December 27, 2007 7:52 PM | Permalink | Comments (4) | TrackBacks (0)
Comments
McCain: +6 from week prior. We shall see if any McCain move materializes next week at the caucus. We also need to remember that candidates with caucus results of less than 15% are dropped from the next ballot at each caucus site so McCain at 14 is really borderline. Perhaps an expert on how statewide caucus results are reported could comment.
Posted on December 27, 2007 8:49 PM
Paul, the 15% rule is only for the Democrat's caucus. The rules are different on the Republican side. The GOP is a simple vote.
Posted on December 27, 2007 9:26 PM
Well, I read something here about polls conducted around Christmas and New Year to be less reliable than others conducted in different periods, according to a slight majority of experts, so I would be careful with this one.
Posted on December 28, 2007 1:11 AM
John Edwards is the only
Democratic Canidate that represents the
middle class. His sincerity and experience
will be a tremendous plus for the American
People. He not only has my vote, but I will
canvas when he comes to California to get him
elected. It is about time that Middle-Class
Americans are represented.
Posted on January 3, 2008 6:10 PM
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