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POLL: Suffolk IN (5/3-4)


Suffolk University

Indiana
n=600
Clinton 49, Obama 43

 

Comments
Mike_in_CA:

Holy crap: The crosstabs show AAs breaking 73-20 for Obama, which I find hard to believe. They also show whites breaking 55-37 for Clinton. Using the same turnout %, but adjusting for blacks (90-10), and putting the white vote at 58-41 Clinton, the surprising final result is: Clinton 51-49!!!!! This is going to be a nailbiter. If Obama can either a) push up AA turnout, or b) grad a few more white votes, he could pull off a stunner...

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pollwatcher:

15% AA is much higher than most other Indiana polls. Doesn't seem right to me, especially with the new voter ID laws that my suppress AA turnout.

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busanga:

Mikein Ca,
I doubt your proposition, even tho as an Obama supporter it will be lovely. HRC picks Indiana with 4-5 point margin tmrw. Why? Well, based on ground info in IN, Obama won't win black votes 90-10. I see him more in the 80-20 Texas range. And add this, he will get about 30-35% of white votes..what does this add up to? Do the maths.

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