Ohio 3/1 - 3/2
Clinton 52, Obama 40
Also, full cross tabs are available.
Interesting. Suffolk assumes that the african american turnout will only account for 8% of the total vote and that people under the age of 35 will only account for 6% of the vote. Any idea why a poll would make such conservative claims after everything we've seen?
Posted on March 3, 2008 12:25 PM
Also, it oversamples the Northeast region and has "over 65" at 38% of the respondents and the most important issue is the economy at 54% - which is way out of line of all similar polls.
This polls is such an outlier - I'm surprised anyone is considering this poll as being valid.
Posted on March 3, 2008 12:34 PM
Wow. This poll has so many demographics drastically different from the 2004 Democratic primaries:
18-44: Suffolk 15.5%, CNN2004 32%
non-Democrats: Suff. 15%, CNN 28%
White: Suff. 88%, CNN 81%
African-Americans: Suff. 8%, CNN 14%
Posted on March 3, 2008 1:27 PM
Update: Links added
Posted on March 3, 2008 4:23 PM
This has gotta be one of the worst polls I've seen. I agree with Jake. 8% black and 6% -35? Are you kidding me?
Hillary will probably win this state, but only by about 5 points. The four states will cancel each other out and they'll split. Then NC and Penn will cancel each other out if Hillary decides to go that far.
Anyone else see a split into 4 parties coming in the next decade? Liberal dems (Kenendy/Obama), Moderate dems (Clinton/Liberman), Christian conservatives (Bush/Huckabee), Moderate/liberal republicans (McCain/Governator)... Then throw in Paul as the 5th (Libertarians)
I kinda like the 5 party system. :)
Posted on March 3, 2008 6:45 PM
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