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POLL: SurveyUSA 10 State GE Results, Giuliani vs.


New SurveyUSA automated surveys of statewide general election match-ups of 500 registered voters in ten states (conducted 4/13 through 4/15) finds:

MassachusettsGiuliani40Clinton52
MassachusettsGiuliani45Edwards46
MassachusettsGiuliani48Obama41
New YorkGiuliani42Clinton53
New YorkGiuliani49Edwards44
New YorkGiuliani51Obama42
OhioGiuliani45Clinton48
OhioGiuliani42Edwards50
OhioGiuliani51Obama40
MissouriGiuliani48Clinton45
MissouriGiuliani43Edwards48
MissouriGiuliani50Obama42
IowaGiuliani48Clinton45
IowaGiuliani40Edwards54
IowaGiuliani44Obama49
WisconsinGiuliani45Clinton44
WisconsinGiuliani39Edwards49
WisconsinGiuliani45Obama43
MinnesotaGiuliani45Clinton48
MinnesotaGiuliani41Edwards49
MinnesotaGiuliani49Obama43
KentuckyGiuliani48Clinton46
KentuckyGiuliani44Edwards47
KentuckyGiuliani54Obama38
VirginiaGiuliani49Clinton44
VirginiaGiuliani45Edwards45
VirginiaGiuliani53Obama38
New MexicoGiuliani47Clinton45
New MexicoGiuliani46Edwards43
New MexicoGiuliani50Obama40
CaliforniaGiuliani41Clinton53
CaliforniaGiuliani42Edwards49
CaliforniaGiuliani45Obama46

 

Comments

Obama and Clinton supporters, don't you think this polling might make a case for an Edwards candidacy over your two candidates?

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Ike:

Hey Mark,
Any chance you could get ARG to pool these samples and provide some demographics?

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Laurie in Maine:

500 voters. In each state? break down of percentages of (D), (R), (I) please?

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Mark Blumenthal:

Laurie:

Yes, SurveyUSA interviewed 500 registered voters in each state -- actually, I spot checked about half and it looks like they typically did slightly more (501, 511, 512, 535,etc) in each state.

Clicking on the state-name hyperlinks above will take you to their cross-tabulations for each state. The number of interviews appears in the top left of each table. The bottom row ("Composition of Registered Voters") will show break downs of party percentages as well as other demographics.

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POed Lib:

Great stuff. I find this head-to-head state-by-state very interesting. Of course, context is all, and when the non-nominees fade away, some things will change.

What we have is 1) committed R 2) I-Lean-R 3)M 4) I-Lean-D 5) committed D.

1 and 5 won't change. That's 75 %.

I-lean-R changed in 2006, and some will change in 2008. How many do the Ds retain?

Many M lean D right now.

I-lean-D will remain that way for this cycle, and this is a big advantage to the D.

On the whole, it looks 52-47 D right now to me.

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Redest:

You polled how mothers were doing compared to 20 or 30 years ago. How about fathers?

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Mike Morrisey:

This is still way too early for these polls to be useful at all.
Most of the people are still uninformed about our candidates.
They'll still probably thinking of the moderate 2004 Edwards instead of the repackaged liberal 2008 Edwards.
Also, Obama still has a large name recognition deficit compared to the others.
Once we get closer to the actual elections, these polls will start to be more meaningful.

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AJ:

I am surpirsed how weak Obama is in the Midwest, he's behind in WI, MN, MO and OH, while Edwards leads in all of them. He's even weaker than HRC. It's too early for these to be predictive, but it shows some weakness he needs to address in what is the crucial battleground.

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AJ:

I am surpirsed how weak Obama is in the Midwest, he's behind in WI, MN, MO and OH, while Edwards leads in all of them. He's even weaker than HRC. It's too early for these to be predictive, but it shows some weakness he needs to address in what is the crucial battleground.

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