POLL: SurveyUSA GEs in KS, NY, MA
Eric Dienstfrey | August 28, 2007
Three new SurveyUSA automated surveys (conducted 8/10 through 8/12) find:
Among 502 registered voters in Kansas:
Clinton 40%, Giuliani 54%
Clinton 44%, Thompson 49%
Clinton 45%, Romney 46%
Among 511 registered voters in Massachusetts:
Clinton 57%, Giuliani 37%
Clinton 62%, Thompson 30%
Clinton 62%, Romney 33%
Among 507 registered voters in New York:
Clinton 59%, Giuliani 37%
Clinton 64%, Thompson 31%
Clinton 64%, Romney 27%
Comments
The Giuliani win in Kansas surprises me. Maybe it's just the name recognition. He can't possibly appeal to Kansans on policy issues such as abortion, gays, and guns. I would discount that part of the poll.
Posted on August 28, 2007 5:51 PM
Kansas is about a third right-wing, a third republican-leaning moderate and a third democrat-leaning (mostly moderate). Moderate democrats (Sebelius, Carlin, Boyda) frequently get elected if running against a stone-age republican. Giuliani does well because of the moderate republican bloc plus the anything-but-Hillary right wingers. So I wouldn't discount those numbers. I would be a bit more surprised at how well Hillary does against Thompson and Romney, but again, many moderates (including republican leaners) are second guessing the R-brand unless the candidate looks pretty different from W.
Posted on August 28, 2007 7:47 PM
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