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POLL: SurveyUSA OH, KY, KS, AL General Election Match-ups


New SurveyUSA automated surveys of registered voters in Ohio, Kentucky, Kansas, and Alabama (conducted 9/14 through 9/16) find:

  • Ohio (between 503 and 533 registered voters)
    Giuliani 48%, Clinton 47%
    Thompson 47%, Clinton 48%
    Romney 42%, Clinton 52%
    Giuliani 52%, Obama 39%
    Thompson 50%, Obama 42%
    Romney 46%, Obama 45%
    Giuliani 48%, Edwards 47%
    Thompson 43%, Edwards 452%
    Romney 36%, Edwards 56%
  • Kentucky (between 542 and 541 registered voters)
    Giuliani 51%, Clinton 41%
    Thompson 50%, Clinton 45%
    Romney 46%, Clinton 46%
    Giuliani 54%, Obama 36%
    Thompson 54%, Obama 37%
    Romney 45%, Obama 43%
    Giuliani 50%, Edwards 43%
    Thompson 44%, Edwards 45%
    Romney 38%, Edwards 48%

 

Comments
Anonymous:

You incorrectly posted the Ohio results. Edwards Leads Thompson 52 to 43.

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=21c6aad8-47f1-4a91-90a1-c2566551dc66

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It is misleading to boldface the "leading" candidate in each of the matchups when they are statistically even. For example, the entry suggests that Giuliani would beat Clinton in Ohio when in fact they are tied. So please only boldface the differences that are real by statistical standards.

Of the 9 matchups, it looks like the GOP nominee would win only two of them at this stage and Democrats would win three. The other four appear to be even. Interesting stuff. One wonders how much primary voters are taking these general election projections into account.

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