18 percent undecided (plus 1 percent refuse to answer and 4 percent "other") is pretty high this late in the game, even without pushing for leaners. No one else has had undecideds that high since February. Makes me a little leery of the results overall.
It's also a rather old poll, considering that the question on people's minds is how the 'bitter' thing will affect opinion. We already have plenty of polling data for last week.
Has anyone noticed the discrepancy between the first "important issues" question and the second "what issue affect candidate choice"? Only 3% say Iraq is most important, but 50% will have it influencing their vote. I find that a little strange.
Also, in the first question 10% on taxes, whereas 3% Iraq 8% Healthcare. So what we get is that on tax week, more people are concerned by taxes than about healthcare or Iraq. I wonder if voter perceptions among which democrat will increase taxes more will play into the vote in some way.
Also, the poll grossly underpolls youths (4%) so I am guessing Obama actually has a much greater lead.
Comments
18 percent undecided (plus 1 percent refuse to answer and 4 percent "other") is pretty high this late in the game, even without pushing for leaners. No one else has had undecideds that high since February. Makes me a little leery of the results overall.
Posted on April 14, 2008 1:03 PM
It's also a rather old poll, considering that the question on people's minds is how the 'bitter' thing will affect opinion. We already have plenty of polling data for last week.
Posted on April 14, 2008 1:14 PM
Has anyone noticed the discrepancy between the first "important issues" question and the second "what issue affect candidate choice"? Only 3% say Iraq is most important, but 50% will have it influencing their vote. I find that a little strange.
Also, in the first question 10% on taxes, whereas 3% Iraq 8% Healthcare. So what we get is that on tax week, more people are concerned by taxes than about healthcare or Iraq. I wonder if voter perceptions among which democrat will increase taxes more will play into the vote in some way.
Also, the poll grossly underpolls youths (4%) so I am guessing Obama actually has a much greater lead.
Posted on April 14, 2008 1:21 PM
Like every poll from the past two weeks, a high number of undecided translates to lower numbers for Hillary.
Posted on April 14, 2008 1:28 PM
Look as well at the percentage of respondents with a graduate or professional degree (19%) - is that high?
Posted on April 14, 2008 1:31 PM
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