Obama 50, Clinton 41
Obama 46, McCain 45... McCain 47, Clinton 44
Favorable / Unfavorable
McCain: 53 / 44
Clinton: 45 / 52
Obama: 53 / 45
McCain 55, Obama 37... McCain 51, Clinton 40
Sen: Sessions 57, Figures 36
In previous elections, primary or general - but especially presidential primaries with their own peculiar dynamics - has there been a tipping point when one candidate begins to open up a lead over the other after a hard fought and heretofore close race? In other words, baring some extraordinary deus ex machina, what kind of a lead sustained for what amount of time would indicate that rank and file Democrats nation wide have decided to coalesce behind one candidate (presumably Obama at this point)?
Posted on April 9, 2008 4:04 PM
I don't know if that is what we are seeing, or just the effects of Hillary's lies finally making a mark on half-way informed voters.
I doubt the public as a whole has decided, "Well, it is over for Hillary, time to get behind our eventual nominee, so Obama doesn't have to keep wasting all this money on the primary that could go to fighting McCain and help other Dems in the fall."
Not many people are in tune with that. Most of them don't even know that Hillary has no shot of getting the nomination - they just buy whatever the media is pushing at the time - currently that it is a "close" race. Hey, it is all about the money - always will be - even for the media.
Posted on April 9, 2008 5:07 PM
I agree that the media bias was, is, and will always be towards money; and that has shaped the coverage of the race. However, I'm really just wondering if there is a point we can identify in real time where a candidate's persistent lead becomes very hard for his opponent to overcome.
Posted on April 9, 2008 6:36 PM
Marist poll just released: McCain ahead of Obama48%-46% in New York.
Posted on April 9, 2008 10:55 PM
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