National end date 3/25
Clinton 45, Obama 45
McCain 51, Obama 41... McCain 50, Clinton 43
McCain 52, Obama 38... McCain 50, Clinton 41
22% of Democrats Want Clinton to Drop Out; 22% Say Obama Should Withdraw
These polls show a real problem for the Democrats come November - and further evidence that Clinton needs to quit immediately. The longer the infighting goes on, the stronger McCain becomes - the polls show this clearly. The Missouri poll is a real big problem for Obama. This is a state he was competitive in. Obviously the result of the wright mess and hillary's kitchen sink strategy is a 14 point deficit to McCain.
The democratic "leadership" is clearly lacking and at this rate they will snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. The election is theirs to lose and they are doing just that. Absolutely terrible stewardship by Dean/Pelosi/Gore/Reid. I knew politicians were stupid - but this stupid? It boggles the mind. If they act in the next month, they can avert certain disaster.
Posted on March 26, 2008 1:54 PM
Boy, this is about as deadlocked nationally as you can get: 45% support for each candidate and 22% say the other candidate should drop out. Along with the new polls showing that a very large % of each candidate's supporters won't support the other, it's looking like the Democrats are dividing themselves right out of the election. But it's still early and this whole thing can be resolved by the Democratic party pretty easily as follows: 1) let the campaigns go on, the other 10 states vote and see what happens. These will all be done by early June. 2) In the meantime, broker a compromise on how to award the delegates from FL and MI. Apparently there won't be re-votes and the DNC cannot disenfranchise millions of voters in 2 of the most important states. The easiest thing to do is just let the delegates individually decide which candidate to back. Remember, just like superdelegates, even the pledged delegates are not legally bound to their candidate in the vast majority of states. They can follow the voters or not. Over 40% of the delegates in MI are "uncommitted" anyway. 3) Hold a meeting of all superdelegates in early June. There's only 800 or so. Let each candidate address the convention and give all the reasons they deserve the nomination (e.g. pledged delegate totals; popular vote totals; Democrat vote totals; # and which states won; votes won per delegate; their vision for the country; electability; current polls; experience; change, etc.). Then take a roll call of all the superdelegates, total it up, add it to the pledged delegates, and whoever has the 2200+ delegates needed (including MI and FL) is the nominee. This is what a TN congressman is advocating and it's a great idea. For the best chance at "unifying" the part, the winning candidate really should put their ego aside and offer the losing candidate the VP slot. Then let the chips fall where the may. At least there'll be resolution 5 months before the election. This is an unprecedented situation and there is no reason to let it drag in to a floor fight at the convention in August. It doesn't help either candidate and unless all the issues are resolved, one of them is going to feel 'ripped off' (and so will their half of Dem supporters). I think this is the only way the Dems can salvage a possible win in Nov. at this point.
Posted on March 26, 2008 2:27 PM
Patrick, since the pledged delegates are selected by the candidates (which is how they ensure they are not likely to be poached by the other side) it's impossible for the delegates to decide for themselves who to vote for.
Posted on March 26, 2008 9:49 PM
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