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POLL: U of Iowa IA Caucus


Via OpenLeft, A new University of Iowa statewide survey of likely caucus goers in Iowa (conducted 7/29 through 8/5) finds:

  • Among 319 "most likely" Democratic caucus goers, former Sen. John Edwards edges out Sen. Hillary Clinton (26% to 25%) in a statewide caucus; Sen. Barack Obama trails at 19%, Gov. Bill Richardson at 9%. Including "less likely" caucus goers (425 total), Clinton runs at 27%, Edwards and Obama both at 22%.
  • Among 223 "most likely" Republican caucus goers, former Gov. Mitt Romney leads former Mayor Rudy Giuliani (28% to 12%) in a statewide caucus; former Sen. Fred Thompson trails at 8%, Rep. Tom Tancredo at 5%, Sen. Sam Brownback at 4%, Sen. John McCain at 3%, former Gov. Mike Huckabee at 2%. Including "less likely" caucus goers (306 total), Romney leads Giuliani 27% to 11%.

Note: According to the University of Iowa release, all candidate names were "given by respondent" on the presidential preference question, which appears to indicate an open ended question in which respondents had to volunteer the candidate name without prompting.

 

Comments
nimh:

McCain at 3% ?! That must be some sort of record low.

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