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POLL: Zogby National (8/23-24)


Zogby Interactive
8/23-24/08; 2,248 LV, 2.1%
Mode: Internet

National
Obama 46, McCain 44
(8/14: Obama 44, McCain 42)

Obama 45, McCain 42, Barr 4, McKinney 1, Nader 1
(8/14: Obama 43, McCain 40, Barr 6, Nader 2)

 

Comments
Kabindra:

Zogby polls are random processes. Anyone believe that Obama was 5 pts down last week?

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Patrick:

Internet polls tend to favor Obama (i.e. younger demographics), just as phone interviews tend to favor McCain (i.e. older demographics). All national polls show that the race is very tight (within the statistical margin of error in almost all cases) and can go either way, so there's not much point in worrying too much about the numbers right now. Wait and see who McCain picks as VP, how the conventions go, and whether Hillary supporters start supporting Obama in higher % come Sept.

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Virginia Centrist:

Response to Patrick:

Not exactly...

Zogby reweighs his sample to mirror likely voter turnout. So your point is not correct. He also supposedly augments his polling with phone interviews.....

But there is plenty to hate about Zogby's polling. For example, the one way it favors Obama a bit is that internet users tend to be more likely to be Barr supporters (think Ron Paul). So you get these bizarre Barr numbers (way too high). I'm not sure that actually favors Obama so much as it just makes the Barr vote too high.

You also have problems contacting certain demographics that favor both candidates. For example: rural voters who don't have internet access (skew towards the GOP). Poorer urban voters who don't have internet access (skews heavily towards the Democrats). It's just a very scattershot process...

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marctx:

Maddow said McCain talk about his POW status to defend not knowing how many houses his wealthy wife has as investments is ridiculous. Obama can live in a million dollar house and his brother could buy ten huts if Obama would spare some change from his massive wealth, but what does that matter about Obama's readiness to lead the free world. And that doesn't mean anything when you think about Obama's attitude about people clinging to guns and religion because of the economy. People don't give their lives to God because gas prices are high. What an insult to the American people.

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