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R2K: MO, IL (9/15-18)

Topics: PHome

St Louis Post-Dispatch / Research 2000
9/15-18/08; 800 LV, 3.5%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
(source)

Missouri
McCain 49, Obama 45
(July: Obama 48, McCain 43)

Illinois
Obama 56, McCain 36

 

Comments
IndependentThinker:

please stop polling IL it's a waste of money and energy

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palinisbushwithlipstick:

Maybe the people are starting to realize if you elect two idiots like mccrap and paliar, then you might get the same results that we have seen from another idiot, GW Bush.

Maybe it is time to start electing smart people - you know, those elitists that graduate magna cum laude from Harvard law.

And not tools like mccain and palin - just go look up their grades/education. Yikes.

Obama and Biden have doctorates from great schools. Mccain and palin are lucky to even have an undergraduate degree.

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Ryan in MO:

Well, McCain's below 50. Being a resident here, I still say it is very much a toss up, more in favor of Obama.

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greg in charlotte:
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Tarp Lazer:

Greg, again, you keep posting the same crap over and over again. You already posted this article on another post. It was pointless the first time, why would anyone click on it again? Get a life.

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JFactor:

Missouri is pretty much like South Carolina. It's seems close but in the end it's not very likely at all that Obama win will that. If he wins one of those states then either Palin or McCain has made a terrible gaffe and Obama will win by a landslide. Otherwise those states don't go blue.
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http://www.internationalpoliticstoday.com

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KipTin:

Even an Obama supporter on CNN (whose first name is Jamal) stated that Democrats do not win in landslides. If Obama wins (as he hopes) it will be a very close race. History agrees.

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Significant in this poll is that the July poll gave Obama a five point advantage, and now McCain has a four point advantage = 9 point swing to McCain. McCain gained 6 points. Obama lost 3% to McCain plus 3% undecided chose McCain.

"And he may have running mate Sarah Palin to thank.

McCain's growing support from women and fellow Republicans are key reasons why he holds a slight lead over Democrat Barack Obama..."

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ronnie:

Recent polling data confirms McCain is struggling badly with the women's vote...With Mrs. Palin's credibility more in question each passing day, I expect those current numbers to at least remain in tact.

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KipTin:

Are you talking about Missouri... ronnie?

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sherriot:

I agree with Ryan. I am also in Missouri and there is no McCain presence here in the Kansas City area at all! I have seen one McCain sign-one. The streets are lined with Obama signs. I hope McCain continues to take Missouri for granted-because at this rate he will lose here.

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boomshak:

@IndependentThinker:

I agree. They may a well poll Alabama. What a waste of resources.

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richieBr:

If Obama wins Missouri he is going to win every single swing State including Ohio and Florida, on his way to 340+ EC votes.

Could happen, but not very likely.

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DPartridge:

@ronnie
"Recent polling data confirms McCain is struggling badly with the women's vote...With Mrs. Palin's credibility more in question each passing day, I expect those current numbers to at least remain in tact."

Women's vote, or white women's vote? This issue isn't McCain's support among women, it's his support among white women. Black women are voting for Obama at a 95-5% rate. So they kind of tilt the numbers when you include them.

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damitajo1:

sherriot - mccain territory is rural missouri. all he has to do is prevent a landslide in urban areas - and keep the landslide in rural areas. that's what bush did...twice.

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carl29:

MO looks pretty Republican to me, especially women. I don't know if this is one of the very few states were Bush did better among women than among men. He won women's vote in MI 54% vs. Kerry's 45%. At least in Ohio and Florida, Bush and Kerry split the women vote right in the middle. In PA and MI Kerry won it by 8% and 7% respectively. I really think that this state is quite conservative, even more than FL.

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Evolve:

As a Kansan and a Dem. I have followed the MO polls quite closely. MO has been consistently 5-8pts towards McCann, even during the crazy bounces of the last 3 weeks. If I was Obama I wouldn't waste much money there.

Just on a funny note the only add I've heard has been running on a conservative radio station ... not his best audience.

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NW Patrick:

It is odd. I've seen several comments from folks in IN, NC, FL and all say the same thing...it's obvious the mood and favor is for Obama. I wonder if we're in for a surprise come election day. I live in OREGON and I've never ever seen ONE McCain bumper sticker.

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Lechuguilla:

Speaking of bumper stickers ...

Here in a very, very Republican area of Texas, I've seen two yard signs for McCain, and two for Obama. Back in 2004, I must have seen at least a thousand yard signs for Bush, with scattered numbers for Kerry.

I think maybe the absence of bumper stickers or yard signs for McCain speaks more to the lack of enthusiasm for McCain than anything else.

Lech

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ajarmen:

Lechuguilla,

I am in Texas as well. Yesterday my husband and I also noticed the lack of McCain signs and bumper stickers. 4 years ago you couldn't swing a dead cat without hitting a Bush sign. At the caucus it was like a giant coming out of the closet (politically) party for us Dems. Of course I don't expect Obama to win Texas, but I can hope!

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