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Re [3]: Obama-Clinton "Virtually Tied" or Not?

Mark Blumenthal | June 14, 2007

Topics: 2008 , General , Hillary Clinton , The 2008 Race

We talked a lot last week (especially here and here) about whether the most recent USA Today / Gallup poll, showing a surprisingly close result on the national Democratic primary trial-heat question, was measuring some real change or just the sort of random noise that comes with the territory of random sampling variation.

Whatever the reason, Gallup's Frank Newport dropped this big hint this afternoon on his Gallup Guru blog that last weeks' result will turn out to be something of an aberration:

We have a Gallup poll now in the field, with results to be reported early next week. Preliminary indications are that this poll will find Clinton back in her typical leadership position as she has been for the most part this year.

If they report on their usual schedule, look for data to appear in the Tuesday edition of USA Today.

By Mark Blumenthal | June 14, 2007 10:15 PM | Permalink | Comments (1) | TrackBacks (0)

Comments

mdiogu:

Gallop Poll is rigged. He tells us the result before the poll is completed. Go figure

Posted on June 15, 2007 1:29 AM

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