Mark Blumenthal | October 30, 2006
Topics: 2006 , Slate Scorecard , The 2006 Race
Charlie Cook writes tonight: "With the election just eight days away, there are no signs that this wave is abating." Some supporting evidence: The overall average Democratic margin in the Slate 13 -- the 13 most competitive Senate races we have been tracking on the Slate Election Scorecard -- has increased for the sixth straight week (from +3.7 to +4.1 percentage points over the last week).
Again, the value in looking at this overall "mash-up" is that it combines a very large number of surveys, including at least 35 new statwide surveys in the 13 states released in the last week. In any one state, the averge might be a little lower or a little higher due to the "house effects" or other variation in recent surveys. By rolling up the results of many surveys, we should minmize the noise. And that approach shows now end to slow Democratic trend in Senate races since mid-September.
PS: The Slate Election Scorecard update for tonight focuses on the Senate race in New Jersey, where two new polls moved that State back to "lean" Democrat status.