Mark Blumenthal | June 3, 2008
Topics: 2008 , Barack Obama , CNN , Exit Polls , Hillary Clinton , MSNBC
OK..one last time (at least until November). Polls will close in South Dakota at 9:00 p.m. ET and in Montana at 10 p.m. ET. Official exit poll tabulations will appear shortly after the polls close at the following links:
- CBS: South Dakota, Montana
- Fox News: South Dakota, Montana
- MSNBC: South Dakota, Montana
- CNN: South Dakota, Montana
All other comments will be in reverse chronological order. All times Eastern.
10:50 - Signing off for tonight. Back tomorrow morning, gods of Pepco allowing. I hope anyone still checking in will join me in thanking Mark Lindeman for crunching the numbers for us every primary night. Thanks Mark!
10:15 - South Dakota tabulations update: Now showing a slightly narrower Clinton lead, roughly 54% to 46%.
10:10 - The Montana tabulations update: Now showing an estimate of 56% Obama, 39% Clinton.
10:01 - MSNBC and CNN project Obama the winner of Montana. The vote estimate used to weight the exit poll cross-tabs now posted online is 54% Obama, 40% Clinton with the rest to undecided.
9:37 - While I was out in search of electricity, the networks apparently declared Obama the "presumptive nominee" based on his share of delegates in South Dakota. But I'm sure you know that already.
9:21 - Apologies. The wonderful DC weather knocked out our power, adding an extra margin of misery to this last primary night. Mark Lindeman tells us that the initial exit poll tabulations indicate a 55% to 45% estimate in Clinton's favor. And as I type this, MSNBC projects South Dakota for Clinton, (and CNN follows moments later).
8:07 - The AP story teases the honesty ratings of the two candidates in both states the the rough shares who say the would be satisfied with the nomination of both. Nate (Poblano) does some quick modeling of the relationship between these questions and the vote in past primaries. His analysis suggests an comfortable margin for Obama in Montana and a closer result (perhaps) in South Dakota.
About seven in 10 in both states called Obama honest and trustworthy. Nearly as many said that about Clinton in South Dakota but barely half in Montana called her honest and trustworthy.