Mark Blumenthal | October 19, 2008
Topics: Daily Trackers
A quick update on today's national tracking poll releases. First, the national trend now clearly shows a slight narrowing over the last week. The now smoothed trend line indicates that the Obama margin peaked at 7.8 points (50.1% to 42.3%) a week ago on October 12. As of this writing, it stands at 5.7 points (49.3% to 43.6%).
However, if we look just at the daily tracking polls since Thursday, the patterns across the six polls that report over the weekend are inconsistent. On today's releases, two (Gallup and Rasmussen) show a slightly wider margin for Obama, two (Reuters/Zogby and IBD/TIPP) show slightly smaller margins and two (Kos/Research200 and Diageo/Hotline) have unchanged margins. If we compare today's releases to Thursdays, the pattern is the same: three slightly improved for Obama, three slightly improved for McCain.