David Moore | August 19, 2008
Several recent posts have addressed whether the likely voter (
Let's look, for example, at Brian Schaffner's recent post, where he compared the RV vs.
This quick look at the data is hardly conclusive, of course, which Brian acknowledges. He had only eight polling organizations in his analysis, and despite the average results, four of the eight polls showed no advantage to using the
Even then, however, an overall conclusion would not be especially helpful. Each polling organization's
Still, at the national level, I would always bet on
Other polling organizations, of course, could find different results. And trying to average the results across polling organizations, to determine whether "in principle"