Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

The First Colbert Poll

Topics: 2008 , The 2008 Race

I suppose it was inevitable. Just about everyone who follows politics knows by now about late night comic Stephen Colbert's one state run for president, launched last week. Well today, the inevitable, as reported by The Washington Post's Chris Cillizza:

Public Opinion Strategies, a Republican polling firm, recently completed a national poll of 1,000 likely 2008 voters that included Colbert's name in both the GOP and Democratic primaries. (He has announced his plans to run in both the Democratic and Republican primaries.) In the field from Oct. 18-21, the survey has a 5 percent margin of error.

In the Democratic primary, Colbert takes 2.3 percent of the vote -- good for fifth place behind Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (40 percent), Sen. Barack Obama (19 percent), former Sen. John Edwards (12 percent) and Sen. Joe Biden (2.7 percent. Colbert finished ahead of Gov. Bill Richardson (2.1 percent), Rep. Dennis Kucinich (2.1 percent) and former Sen. Mike Gravel (less than 1 percent).

He was less lucky in the Republican field, where he took less than 1 percent of the vote behind even longshot candidates like Reps. Tom Tancredo and Ron Paul. Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani led the Republican field with 29 percent, followed by former Gov. Mitt Romney at 12 percent, former Sen. Fred Thompson (11 percent) and Sen. John McCain (10 percent).

See the Cillizza item for a quote from POS partner Neil Newhouse and decide for yourself if Newhouse is any more serious about the Colbert candidacy than Colbert.

After struggling to find some meaningful lesson in all of this, I simply give you Colbert's estimable mentor Jon Stewart, who made the following observation about Vice President Dick Cheney's 18% job approval rating last year:

The 18 percent thing is you really have to think of this in -- let's look at this just purely statistically. Four out of five dentists surveyed recommend sugarless gum for their patients who chew gum. So, there is one out of five dentists who say "You chew gum? Ah, why not put sugar in it?"

These are not the best dentists, OK that's 20 percent. He's not even getting all the dentists who recommend sugared gum. That's low. I think Dracula has a higher Q rating right now than the vice president.

So there you have it. Or something.

 

Comments
Rich B.:

What are the Arnold Schwartznegger/ Fred Thompson rules here on being a candidate and a media personality?

____________________

ALex:

For a favorite son candidate (even one as ridiculous as Colbert), national polls really don't matter. I'm waiting for the first post-Colbert SC polls.

____________________

gjdodger:

LOL. Sorry, Jon. The fifth dentist recommended his or her patients refrain from chewing gum entirely. http://www.straightdope.com/classics/a1_174a.html

____________________

Gravel kucinich paul nader perot carter [conyers?] united for truth elicit fear smear blacklist.

Honesty compassion intelligence guts.

No more extortion blackmail bribery division.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR