Middle Tennessee State University
9/15-27/08; 635 Adults, 4%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
McCain 48, Obama 36
Sen: Alexander 50, Tuke 26
What?!?! Nobody's gonna discuss the Tennessee polling?!?! After all they have given us... bigotry, cousin mariage and squirrel gravy?!?!?
Posted on September 29, 2008 2:47 PM
Even though it's a more or less meaningless poll as on one on earth expects TN to be any sort of "battleground state," it's worth clicking on and reading the entire report. Tenneseeans think Palin is full of crap, they could care less about the "lipstick on a pig" remark. The Economy, Energy, and Education are the top 3 issues with National Security nowhere on the map. Extrapolate that to all the states that aren't naturally glowing bright red, and it's cear to see.. McCain is screwed. He only even holds onto a state like this because Lamar Alexander is still extremely popular and the built in Republican-Deep south "values" voters are immovable. You get into the purple states and it's clear to see the GOP is in huge trouble.
Posted on September 29, 2008 2:54 PM
Lol, why do they even do polls like this?
Posted on September 29, 2008 2:55 PM
Because boomshank, this is a college poll. Not sure if you went to one or not, but colleges have political science and mass communication departments. So they do polls. Now it's a shame they didn't include what percentage of their respondents identified themselves in terms of party affiliation. But I'd be willing to guess it would fall somewhere along the same partisan lines of how people said they would vote. So therefore I could use your logic and say the poll was weighted unfairly, and that Obama would actually be close or maybe leading in a poll with equal D/R/IND representation. Of course I wouldn't, because I'm not a hopelessly self-deluded fool and/or on the McCain campaign payroll.
Posted on September 29, 2008 3:02 PM
actually, Obama down only 12 in TN is pretty impressive. Guess that 7% national lead is truly real.
By the way, if Obama wins the popular vote by 7%, he will likely win 30 states, and close to 400 Electoral Votes. Just something to keep in mind.
Posted on September 29, 2008 3:05 PM
I actually think this is a fascinating poll.
That McCain is only 4 points ahead of where most national polls have him in this rather red state is one interesting datapoint.
The other is the gap between them -- it's much larger than in almost any other state poll I've seen (admittedly, I've not been watching state polls all that closely).
I'm guessing here, but it's not that hard to suss out that Tennessee voters are really not happy with the GOP brand.
If support for Obama is only at 36, why isn't McCain at about 58?? I think this could be read as an indication of a state that is not ready to vote for a man with a black parent.
Posted on September 29, 2008 4:07 PM
Yeas Ralph, you make a good point. Consider that in "redder than red" Tennessee that McCain can't even get what Obama is getting in National Polls?
Posted on September 29, 2008 6:44 PM
'Not ready' to vote for a black candidate? Ask Harold Ford. This is one of the most racist states in the Union, and is sure to be as racist as it is for a long time to come.
Posted on September 30, 2008 6:18 AM
While McCain should be secure in his lead in TN another point is the fact that so many people still seem unwilling to support the Republican candidate. Consider that Obama has the same percentage in North Carolina as McCain does in Tennessee...and that tells you something about the very serious doubts that even Republicans have about this ticket.
It could mean that a lot of Republicans will decide to stay home on election day...especially if the election seems to be swinging Obamas' way. That could kill the Republican down ticket races.
Posted on September 30, 2008 11:44 AM
Tennessee is a great state, full of Democrats who are working very hard to do what we can to close the gap. I have helped register over 600 voters in the past week, and I couldn't be happier to see the polls show us closing the gap from over 20 points down to 12. We may not be able to win here, but we may be able to cause McCain to have to campaign here, spend money here, and at the same time, we maybe able to increase the number of Dems in the State House and Senate. Give us a break, we give you great music, and are working hard in an up-hill battle to do our part.
Posted on September 30, 2008 2:21 PM
Hey, I love the state, I've spent many a night camping in the mountains of middle-Tennessee.
I was mostly trying to point out what cinnamonape said better: this bodes ill for McCain nationally that he is so weak in a state that "should" be 60/36, not 48 for him.
And kudos to hard working Dems like Blue. I lived in Texas for 14 years and know what it's like to be part of a long-term minority party. It's vital work to not roll over.
Howard Dean may have plenty of faults, but he has moved the Dems away from ceding the red states -- it IS a downballot thing!!
Posted on September 30, 2008 3:34 PM
The stereotypical characterizations of Tennessee are far out of line. Tennessee has always been very progressive on issues of race. It's not for nothing that Nashville is called the cradle of the civil rights movement.
Harold Ford Jr. came tantalizingly close to winning despite the overall Republican trend in Tennessee. It's a credit to Tennessee that he came so close. When was the last time that New York, Wisconsin or California had a black nominee for the U.S. Senate?
Posted on October 1, 2008 9:42 AM
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