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US: 2012 Pres (PPP 5/7-9)

Topics: National

Public Policy Polling (D)
5/7-9/10; 707 registered voters, 3.7% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

National

2012 President
46% Obama, 45% Huckabee
50% Obama, 43% Palin
49% Obama, 42% Gingrich
46% Obama, 44% Romney
46% Obama, 28% Johnson

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 50 / 46 (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Mike Huckabee: 33 / 30 (chart)
Sarah Palin: 37 / 56 (chart)
Newt Gingrich: 29 / 48
Mitt Romney: 33 / 36 (chart)
Gary Johnson: 4 / 15

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

If Huckabee Becomes president he might as well burn the constitution after being sworn in. Watch out; you'll see an angry revolt from school teachers when they have to denounce Evolution.

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Farleftandproud:

Palin won't go anywhere but Huckabee really scares me. I know he would go much further than Bush ever did on social issues. I would assure you that abortion would be criminalized under all conditions, and there would be a federal law making it illegal to allow civil unions, gay marriages, and probably even the practice itself.

You think the tea partiers from the right have been bad? You haven't seen anything yet, if he became president. At an Obama rally, I would have to tell him during a question and answer session at a rally these things, like the lady in Minnesota thought Obama was an Arab terrorist and Mccain had to say he is a good person. Obama would likely say,"no Huckabee is a good family man, but whose ideas I disagree with.

There would be more angry people and greater anarchy than you find in Mexico. That is a scenario that I hope will never happen.

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Field Marshal:

*******SIGH*************

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iVote:

These kind of polls are interesting to look at, but they don't mean much of anything this far out.

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Farleftandproud:

Romney being this close doesn't scare me, since I think he is more rational, but Huckebee and Palin clearly have an agenda that puts the interests if religious conservatives first and the rest of the American people 2nd.

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Aaron_in_TX:

Huckabee. is. not. running. Neither is Gingrich.

Romney is. Palin is. They are the only ones so far who have demonstrated the fundraising ability necessary to run against an incumbent president.

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Field Marshal:

Aaron,

I would say Romney is 100% running but Palin is most likely not running. Maybe 20% chance.

I agree with Gingrich (too old) and Huckabee.

They need to be polling Pawlenty since he's obviously running as well as Daniels.

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Stillow:

Why do you guys think Huck is not running?

Romney if he gets the nomatinion would be a big challenge for Obama.

But I am still concinced the GOP will get a fresh face as the nominee.

President Ryan perhaps. President Daniels maybe.....with Vice presidnet Stillow.

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Farleftandproud:

Yeah, they haven't even talked about Daniels yet. See, I am not sure if some governor at this point in a state like INdiana is well known enough to appear on a poll like this.

What bothers me about Huck and Palin is how they went from coming across as the populist, social conservative types to suddenly getting starring roles on Fox News. Huckabee is very convincing, and he does come across as a reasonable guy at times on Fox; he even had Bill Maher on there, and Huck really didn't argue with him much. He handled it almost like Larry King.

The other side of Huckabee is quite darker. He has made statements about death panels and other things. Just for the record, the state of Oregon actually does allow assisted suicided in certain instances. The reason I am outraged at socially conservative politicians trying to criminalize that is very unfortunate. You have to choose to want to die, and Kevorkian simply used drugs to ease people's pain and shorten their lives. These are only terminally ill people.

The bottom line, is that is just my opinion but Obama never suggested that.

Huckabee supported not only gay people not being able to adapt but put a law that would make it so single people couldn't adapt a child. That was struck down. That would mean that Sandra Bullock after her divorce decides to adapt, in AR she would be forbidden to.

There is room for discussion of moral concerns but I just don't believe it can be legislated. I am a firm Jeffersonian on these topics. Americans fled from Europe because of religious persecution, and we can't have it here. That also means we can't allow religious persecutors to be elected to high office.

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Aaron_in_TX:

Yeah I forgot Pawlenty. He's running.

Daniels.... I don't know, he's been vague, but not the "yes I'm running but don't want to say now" vague. Plus I've heard his wife is seriously against it. He would have a charisma disadvantage, even against Romney. He's also been moderate enough as governor to bleed support from the right. Also unproven fundraising ability. If anyone's going to make a credible run, the goundwork needs to be laid this year.

Palin would be stupid not to run. She'll never be more popular than she is now with her ability to fundraise and draw crowds. Unless she's moved completely on from politics to the punditry arena.

I think Rick Perry may also be running providing he wins again for TX governor. Gov of TX is such a weak position I don't know why anyone would want it for 3 full terms. I really see him running if Palin does not. They appeal to the same people.

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Cody Jones:

CONGRESSMAN RYAN/STILLOW 2012!

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Farleftandproud:

Why would Rick Perry want to be president of a country he wants to secede from?

Romney would be the most worrisome against Obama because he has blue state ties to NH, Mass and Michigan. He wouldn't be from a deep red state like Palin or Huck.

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Field Marshal:

Can i be secretary of state or treasury in the new Ryan/Stillow administration?

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Manning:

The Problem with Republicans is the South-west region is now turning blue with CO,NM and Even Arizona in my opinion being for grabs the only one that has a chance in that area is Romney but he will never make it out of the primaries because of his Health-care stance in Mass.

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Farleftandproud:

Romney looks strong as a candidate from a demographic standpoint, but one serious problem he would have is getting nominated. Don't forget he signed a bill in Mass. that made it a law to insure people for health care. Did he do it because he didn't wanted to go down as a good governor in Mass? That is why he did it.

Perhaps Obama's bill on the national level may just be gaining ground and Romney doesn't want to run against something that is working.

Nevertheless, if Obama is very high in the polls by 2012, they may nominate Romney if he is the only one they think has a chance.

Pawlenty would probably be the biggest threat to Obama getting re-elected. I wouldn't say he is a threat to the country and would probably not be a bad president, but hopefully if that must happen, it will after 2016, not 2012.

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Farleftandproud:

MN is the only state who never voted for Reagan. The GOP would like to break the 40 year old Democratic streak in presidential elections. Democrats in MN like to maintain that tradition, and like PA and WI the GOP does sometimes come close. It is probably about as Blue as Washington state.

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LordMike:

Who's Johnson?

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Shannon,Dallas,Texas:

You guys forgot the straw poll LOSER ( er. I mean winner), Ron Paul.

He's another 19%er who has absolutely no chance of winner the Presidency.

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Shannon,Dallas,Texas:

I meant to say:

He's another 19%er who has absolutely no chance of winning the Presidency.

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jamesia:

Gary Johnson is the previous governor of NM. He's strongly libertarian, a classical liberal. Pro-gun, pro-gay rights, pro-choice, pro-pot ... fiscal conservative. He'd get my vote. He'd likely get most of the indie votes, and more Dem supporters than GOP just because he doesn't give a damn what you do at home.

I view him in the mold of a Lincoln Republican rather than what we have lately ... Reagan Republicans. Less fascist, more liberal.

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Chris V.:

I would vote for Gary Johnson in a heartbeat. I'm generally a fiscal conservative and a social liberal (with some exceptions in each case, but that's for another post), and there hasn't been one of those in a Presidential general election since, what, Gerald Ford? Of course, the neo-cons will ignore Johnson if he runs, just like they did to Ron Paul.

I probably wouldn't vote for him, but I don't have anything against Mitch Daniels either. He seems like a practical, apolitical politician.


Of course, given the way the Republican Party is trending, they'll be eager to pick a religious right, Obama-is-the-antichrist extremist instead.

If Romney is the nominee, it would be very hard for him to campaign against "ObamaCare" since his plan in Massachusetts was fairly similar, was it not? Of course, that's assuming people even care about health care by 2012 in the first place.


"Farleftandproud:

Romney being this close doesn't scare me, since I think he is more rational, but Huckebee and Palin clearly have an agenda that puts the interests if religious conservatives first and the rest of the American people 2nd.

Posted on May 12, 2010 4:32 PM "

I disagree. I remember in his concession speech, he kept going on bizarre tangents about how "we need to make sure people are married before they have babies" and such. I think an Obama-Romney race would be a lot like Bush-Kerry. A strong base who opposes the President, but the candidate running against him is so devoid of charisma or original ideas that the President wins re-election anyway.

Stillow:

"President Ryan perhaps. President Daniels maybe....."

Ryan who? Paul Ryan? If he wants to run for President, he should run for Governor or Senate this year. I doubt he will be taken seriously if he's just in the House. When is the last time a member of the House was elected President...or even came close?

In the end, Obama is probably vulnerable if a strong Republican runs against him. I just don't see any yet though. Daniels is probably the best choice of any name I've heard so far.

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Aaron_in_TX:

'When is the last time a member of the House was elected President...or even came close?"

James K. Polk I think.

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Field Marshal:

James Garfield.

He was probably our smartest president ever as well.

"Of course, given the way the Republican Party is trending, they'll be eager to pick a religious right, Obama-is-the-antichrist extremist instead."

You mean like the Dems did when they picked Obama? Yeah, that would be bad.... LOL.

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