Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

US: 46% Democrat, 46% Republican (Gallup 9/20-26)

Topics: Gallup , generic ballot , National , poll

Gallup
9/20-26/10; 3,148 registered voters, 2% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Gallup release)

National

2010 Congress: Generic Ballot
46% Democrat, 46% Republican (chart)

 

Comments
melvin:

Its amazing how the media jumps all over a statement whenever a prominent Democrat makes it,but when a prominent Republican makes a stupid statement the media completely ignores it.
Joe Biden said something very stupid,but all you hear on Fox News,and CNN is how Biden is taking the Democratic base for granted.The GOP is the party that is very divided,because the GOP cant control the racist idiots that's apart of the teaparty.
The teaparty is going to expect the GOP to.

Shutdown the Govt.
Privatize Social Security.
Repeal the HCB.
Go after people in the Obama administration.
Keep the Bush taxcuts in place for the rich.
Keep DSDT in place.
Deport 6 million illegal immigrants back to Mexico.

These are some of the demands the teaparty movement is going to want done immediately,but the Republican party knows that is an impossibility..The gop is lying to these racist people to get them to turnout in November,because the GOP knows they wont be able to overturn one thing in the House,because Obama will veto it.

____________________

melvin:

Donald Rumsfield admitted on the Rush Limbaugh show that the GOP needs around 62% of the White vote to beat Obama in 2012, because he predicts the Minority vote is going to be 28% in 2012..Rumsfield told Limbaugh he don't see anybody in the Republican field who can do that right now.
Well Mr Rumsfield you are absolutely right,because its only been done 2 times in the Republican party 145 year history.

Reagan won 65% in 1984
Nixon won 64% in 1972.

The Republican nominee in 2012 is going to have to get over 8% of the liberal vote to do it..Reagan got over 10%,and Nixon got over 10%..Which makes 2012 so different from 1972,and 1984 is the Republican nominee wont win anything close to the 500 Electoral vote Reagan in Nixon won in they're races. If the Republican nominee happens to get over 60% of the White vote in 2012..They would be very lucky to reach 270.

____________________

JMSTiger:

46%-46% tie among registered voters was also the final Gallup generic ballot number going into the November 1994 midterms- the midterms in which the GOP picked up 52 seats in the House and 8 in the Senate.

____________________

melvin:

The only time the Republican party have a shot of winning seats in the House in Senate after 2016 would be in the Midterms,because Minorities don't vote in higher percentages like they do in the Presidential year.
After 2016 the Democrats is going to see a boom in the Minority vote,because Millions of Minority voters is going to be between the age of 30-40...Am just curious to know how the pollsters are going to poll people after 2016,because the White vote is going to be under 68%,which means the GOP have to get over 65% of the White vote to win Presidential Elections after 2016.

____________________

melvin:

JMSTiger: Again what you in these right-wing nuts are failing to realize that back in 1994 the Minority vote was only 8%,that's why the GOP won so many seats...Back in 2002 the GOP had a 3pt lead in Gallups final poll for register voters in 2002,but the GOP only won 5 seats,because the Minority vote was over 14% which prevented the GOP from reaching the 250 seats many political experts predicted they would reach in 2002.

____________________

Bob in SJ:

Heh. Finnaly some consistancy from Gallup. Keeps to the patter of RV's about tied, and LVs 5-10 in favor of the Reps. Dem voters are there, they just have to show up.

____________________

melvin:

Right now it looks like the gop is only going to pickup 26 seats in the House,and 6 seats in the Senate,because am predicting the Minority vote is going to be over 18%..Here is the Minority vote in the Midtrems after 1994.

1998-12% Minority vote,GOP loss 2 seats.Final Gallup poll Democrats by 1%
2002-14% Minority vote,GOP gain 5 seats.Final Gallup poll GOP by 6%
2006-16% Minority vote,GOP loss 30 seats.Final Gallup poll Democrats by 12%.

____________________

Rightward:

Melvin-

Your lunacy is astounding........check out the NY Time's (Nate Silver's) www.fivethirtyeight.com to receive objective analysis and get informed about what's about to slam into the dems in november.

____________________

Field Marshal:

46%-46% tie among registered voters was also the final Gallup generic ballot number going into the November 1994 midterms- the midterms in which the GOP picked up 52 seats in the House and 8 in the Senate.

And that was on an LV screen.

____________________

Field Marshal:

*Should say wasn't it tied on an LV screen, not RV?

____________________

CompCon:

melven:

Who appointed you spokesman for the tea party?

There is only one racist idiot around here that I know of and he goes by the name of melvin.

The ignorance, the racism, the hatred, the naivety, the gullibility, the stupidity of people like you is absolutely astounding. No wonder we have a horror like Obama as president if his supporters are like you.

____________________

Bukama:

Melvin,

Just curious, what do you think would happen if the Republicans nominated a minority of woman (not Palin) for President in 2012? I mean a Bobby Jindahl or Mel Martinez (or Marco Rubio for that matter). In my Colorado House District, currently held by Ed Perlmutter, an upstanding, small business owning, Navy vet is making the race much closer than anyone predicted. And Ryan Frazier is Black.

Dist. 7 is an odd gerrymander, Stretching from West Denver suburbs to the cities of Aurora and Commerce City. Aurora is heavily minority populated, and Commerce City is industrial. Blacks face less discriminatory treatment in Colorado than other parts of the country. Hispanics, on the other hand, face a lot of discrimination. Nevertheless, much of Colorado's hispanic population have been in the state for multi-generations. They are not keen on illegal immigration, and often socially conservative.

I think Ryan Frazier may pull it off - if the wave is big enough - and if he does, he will bo one of a dozen or more Republican rising stars who are either women or minorities.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR