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US: Dems vs Reps (CNN 3/25-28)

Topics: poll

CNN / Opinion Research Corporaton
3/25-28/10; 1,009 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN release)

National

Do you think the Republicans in Congress or the Democrats in Congress would do a better job of dealing with each of the following issues and problems?
Economy: 48% Republicans, 45% Democrats
Foreign Affairs: 48% Democrats, 44% Republicans
Afghanistan: 46% Democrats, 44% Republicans
Terrorism: 50% Republicans, 40% Democrats
Health Care: 48% Democrats, 46% Republicans
Taxes: 48% Republicans, 45% Democrats
Federal Budget Deficit: 46% Republicans, 44% Democrats
MedicarE: 47% Democrats, 46% Republicans
Unemployment: 46% Republicans, 46% Democrats
Education: 50% Democrats, 40% Republicans
Environment: 57% Democrats, 34% Republicans

 

Comments
Stillow:

Man, we are sucha a divided nation on almost everything.............

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tjampel:

So Health Care is the Waterloo for Dems?

Not based on this survey, which looks pretty realistic/consistent with other surveys on other fronts, such as Economy, Foreign Policy, Terrorism, Educations, etc.

If Republicans have even less credibility than Dems on this issue how are they going to succeed in hitting them over the head with it? If the American people don't trust the new health care law it stands to reason that they trust the Republicans even less to repeal/replace/reform it.

As some of the popular provisions of the new law kick in support for HCR will grow somewhat. Additionally there are no real tax consequences until 2014. Dems really should run on Health Care contrasting the reforms (that Republicans themselves have been proposing for 17 years) which they can take 100% credit for with teh "Hell NO", which is all Republicans are associated with on this issue. They own NO; Dems own removal of pre-existing conditions, rescission, kids stay on parents' policies, tax credits for small business whether they deserve them or not.

We'll see if I'm right. I expect support for HCR to be up 5 points by November, pushing it into positive territory.

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obamalover:

The economy??? For real????? Conservative philosophy almost destroyed it. How are people so dumb?

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Farleftandproud:

This poll is simply wrong. I think the issue that shows the greatest misinformation is "unemployment". The GOP has done absolutely nothing other than to accuse Obama of being an elitist who wants to make things better for wall street but not main street. I am in a small business and I got a $600 bonus. Obama is reaching out to Small businesses and I never remember getting anything other than a couple of meager stimulus checks when Bush was president. The American public though remains pretty stupid.

I could honestly say the GOP would fair better in my opinion if the radical violent fringe groups weren't the ones supporting many of the candidates challenging the Democrats in 2010. Of course people have a right to lean in a conservative direction but threatening liberal congressman and calling the word "nigger" to african american congressmen, and that Christian warrior group plotting to kill cops in Michigan and overthrow the government.

I would like to believe gop politicians, that their views don't reflect the schemes of these violent barbarians, but each day I am having more and more doubts. I honestly think Ronald Reagan would be turning over in his grave if he saw just how low the new conservative movement has regressed to.

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Farleftandproud:

Obamalover is right. Bush's approval on the economy was about 25 percent in his last 2 years. At least in 2010, we have the advantage of actually accomplishing a landmark legislation. In 1994, Bill Clinton fought like hell for it and lost. Getting the progressive base fired up will help out a lot in 2010. If health care had failed, I think the polls would look worse. I think it will increase the number of likely voters who lean democratic. I think many poorer Democratic voters might have gotten frustrated and would be less likely to turn out in 2010.

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Stillow:

farleft - The GOP has no power to do anything. pelosi keeps any good GOP ideas i nthe House under lock and key.

People saw the damage of big g'ment expansion and big g'metns pending did under Bush. Now that the GOP seem to be getting abck to fiscaly conservatism it makes sense they would be gaining in favorability to deal with issues like unemployment and the economy. We all saw what growing g'ment does and leads to under Bush...Obama has doubled down on that approach and it will affect hsi party as Bush doing ti affected his.

There is going to be a surge of fiscally conservative policies be demanded by the people....both Bush and Obama have shown quite clearly we simply cannot afford fiscal liberalism. As a result of this it should favor the GOP more since traditionally they have been a more fiscally conservative party until this past decade. However, they appear to have learned there lessons that people taught them in 06 and 08 and at least for now seem to have gotten there conservative mojo back and will be rewarded in November as a result.

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obamalover:

@Stillow

More spending doesn't necessarily mean bigger government. Bush was also a big deregulator, and most of the increase in spending went towards defense.

Anyhow, you are living in a fantasy world if you think conservatives are going to do anything about the deficit. Republicans have been historically horrible compared to Democrats when it comes to the deficit.

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Stillow:

OL - It comes down to dollars. We simply cannot afford what Obama is doing, we couldn't afford what W was doing and look what happened...and when W was pres we were talking about much smaller numbers. O has doubled down o nthe over spending and we're now talking about deficits in the trillions now and no longer the billions. That can't continue. Its simply impossible to sustain the accumulation of debt we are taking on.

So by sheer need,the country will shift fiscally to the right, it has no other option. Spending cuts, entitlement cuts will have to be implemented. If the GOP is successful this November, it will be for that reason, because the people are demanding the spending get under control before its to late.

The credit cards are all maxed out, no one else is going to lend us the money we are wanting to spend....O's projected debt level is over 20 trillion in just a few years.....sorry, but that cannot be sustained. The intrest payment alone would be enough to give everyone health insurance from bith to death 5x over.

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havoc:

Speaking of Debt overload I read last week that the federal Gov is having to pay higer interest than several private corperations to issue bonds.

In other words the investor class thinks that Berckshire hathaway is a better credit risk that uncle sam.

Inflation will be next.

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obamalover:

@Stillow

And you expect the Republicans to do that when Democrats have a hundred times better track record than Republicans? What universe are you living in.

And what about Republicans voting against PayGo and The deficit commission? Are you just completely ignoring that to make your argument work? And you talk about cutting entitlements, yet you ignore the fact the healthcare bill cut 500 billion from Medicare, which the Republicans were against and said Dems were going to pull the plug on grandma.

The facts do not support your argument that Republicans will all the sudden become deficit hawks when they become the majority when they don't even care about the deficit now that they are in the minority. Whatever you're smoking must be good.

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Stillow:

Paygo is a joke and you know it. The Senate went with that and the first thing they did was push it aside to pass an extension of unemployment beenfits with no way of paying for it....its a political game.

The GOP shows signs of getting back to its 1990's mentality of small g'ment and less spending. Things like welfare reform, etc.

HC will not cut the budget, the accounting gimmicks were just that, gimmicks.

Try and understand, WE DON'T HAVE THE MONEY. Only a moron thinks we can keep this rate of spending up, we cannot. You are watching how a country slowly collapses financially. By spending trillions more than it has every year.

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obamalover:

@Stillow

Actually PayGo in part led to the surplus of the 90's. So no it is not a joke. Maybe you would like to believe that so you can live in your fantasy world where the GOP cares about the deficit, but that is not the case.

When the GOP took control in the 90's nothing got done in Washington. Maybe welfare reform is the only thing you can point to, but in reality welfare reform did little to make a substantial impact on welfare spending. Sorry to burst your bubble:
http://dpcrandall.files.wordpress.com/2009/10/heritage-obama-welfare-spending-graph1.jpg

If they were gimmicks then why did the dozens of Ph.D.'s in the CBO not catch on to it? Maybe you know more than they do. LOL!

And the deficit commission has been a Republican idea for some time. And when they have a chance to actually vote on it they vote it down. If you haven't noticed by now Republicans say one thing in regards to deficits and do another.

I'm going to try to make this as simple as possible for you: when businesses and individuals don't have money they take out loans. Eventually they pay them back. And I know having a two trillion dollar deficit sound like a lot, but when your economy produces 14 trillion dollars of GDP every year, you certainly have the capacity to pay it back when the country is no longer in a recession.

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Stillow:

You just proved all my poitns in one poast. Two trillion sounds like a lot, but its not. That is the problem with you liberals, you think you can spend forever with no end in sight. I can do that too on a personal level, max out all my credit cards, go get some new ones, cash in some assets and I can live like a king for probably 10 years, but it ALWAYS catches up to you. This is the frustrating roadblock I have with you fiscal libs, to you guys you can just spend forever with no end in sight. I don't care if your afiscally liberal dem or repub, its financially damaging. The interest payment alone on the debt in a few years will be enough to fund almost any entitlement you want, but instead we have to pay it to pure interest...........

Ya, little was done in the 90's and it gave us a surplus. Small g'ment....I don't want g'ment to do much, I want them to do as little as possible. Leave me alone, leave my family alone, leave my money alone. Its none of their bsuiness. The less g'ment does the better off everyone will be. We've been thru this big g'ment stuff before i nthe late 70's and it gave us a horrible recession. Bush's g'ment expansion and wasteful spending gave us this current recession. When will you fiscal libs in btoh parties understand this....anytime g'ment grows and gets more invovled in our lives, things worsen.

Your living in dreamland if you think you can just keep spending like this. Open your eyes, other countries are in early stages of moving away fromthe dollar. In less thn 10 years oil will no longer be traded in dollars allowing dozens of countries to dump there dollar reserves. Along with the amoutn of debt we already have and no on left to finance more debt, we will get massive amoutns of hyuperinflation. And thats is the best case scneario...You cannot spend like this and there is no way to pay back the debt despite your claim.

CA for example is where the netire country is headed, many of its politicans have said even in good times they will still run deficits because the demand of entitlement spending has simply grown beyond th abilityto pay for it. That is where the feds are....we don't have the money to fund social security which just went into the red, or medicare or this new HCR....the money desn't exist anywhere. Raising taxes only leads to misery for all like we had in the late 70's....and it criples business because no one has any disposible income to buy things, g'ment has taken it all to pay for its entitlements.

Its very sad we have raised an entire generation of young people to beleive they are entitleed to everything they want. No one want sto work for it or pay for it, but by God soemthing is owed to them. The entitlement generation if it does not change its mindset will oversee the collapse of this country. Greed, dependency and selfishness will destroy what previous generatiosn have given them.

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Aaron_in_TX:

Stillow is still writing his long diatribes. How funny... Seriously, Stillow, where do you find the time? I thought you worked for a living.

Also still engaged in generational condescension. Yes, those young people are way too entitled...but then I hear republicans cling to medicare like a life preserver and their baby boomer and elderly supporters certainly want what's coming to them. Do you even talk to young people? We already know we're not going to get social security, yet we are still paying for it. It seems to me that entitlement mentality goes both ways. We had to learn it somewhere, so the real fault is with you.

Re: this poll - the domestic issues are evenly split, that's to be expected. What is quite interesting is that democrats are favored regarding foriegn policy and war. That's new. It's going to put the democrats in a rhetorical tight spot - how do they satisfy their anti-war folks?

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obamalover:

@Stillow

You just ignored the fact our economy produces 14 trillion in GDP every year, but whatever. And I don't want the deficit to go on forever, just until the recession is over, especially when core consumer prices was down last month and the threat if deflation is very real.

In the 90's we had much higher taxes on income, capital gains, dividends, etc. in addition to the PayGo policy. All of which was enacted by the '93-'94 Democratic Congress. So if you want to thank someone for the surplus think the Democratic party.

You clearly don't know what you are talking about. There was an oil shock in the late 70's which caused stagflation. When energy prices sky rocket that will happen. And Carter was the one who started deregulating price controls, so I have no clue what you are referring to.

And actually when government grew after the 60's standard of living dramatically increased. Please what numbers are you referring to.

And I never said we can keep spending like this. Keynesian economics dictate when you are in a liquidity trap and you are in a recession deficits are the least of your concern. But when things get better THEN that is when you get you finances under control. Balancing the budget during a recession is idiotic (see 1937).

CA is in budget trouble because the Governator cut taxes when he took office. But then again all states are in a financial mess because we are in a recession. Duh.

Unfortunately you don't understand how lending works. Our economy would collapse if no one ever took on any debt, especially the federal government, which is what you are suggesting since you think the government should always have a balanced budget, good times or bad economic times. Which is just plain brain dead policy.

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Julia:

Another survey with no party identification. The last broadly touted CNN survey heavily oversampled Republicans. I guess they decided not to release their sample composition at all after that, so that no one can accuse them of biasing the results.

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jamesia:

This is just a way for the media to ingrain ideology... Democrats = health, education, environment ... GOP = taxes, economy, warfare. Regardless of real results, in the back of our minds we always feel this way about each party. For instance, GOP economics have literally almost destroyed the world economy. Yet when the chips fall, people still like them for it. We might lose our credit with China and credibility with Europe for it... but back at home the spin machines erase the doubt!

Democracy would probably be better served without parties.

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Aaron_in_TX:

"Regardless of real results, in the back of our minds we always feel this way about each party."

This is interesting. I've noticed that since 2000, people seem to actually like democratic foriegn policy slightly more, and dislike their economic policies slightly more. What stands out most to me was the 2004 election - Kerry won the FP debate, but Bush tied or at least didn't lose the domestic policy debate, which all the journalists thought Kerry would win easily. Same happened in 2008, Obama outperformed expectations in the FP debate, but McCain held his own in the domestic one. He at least forced Obama to defend his own end-zone with the "Joe the Plumber" meme. It was effective at first before it became silly.

Those "traditional" "soft on foriegn policy" or "good on bread and butter" memes about the parties' stregnths are holdovers from the FDR era that don't always apply now.

A significant reason the democrats won in 2006 and 2008 was disgust over republican handling of foriegn policy and fatigue over Iraq. People generally want good relations with the world, not antagonism with countries that should be our allies. And Americans have never had patience for long wars.

Conversely, it's easy to brand democratic economic policies subtly or boorishly as "socialism." The underlying premise that they want to take resources from the "deserving" in order to help the "undeserving" is a powerful message that should not be underestimated. In fact, I would say republicans have the upper hand when it comes to economic issues. It's only when the system seemed ready to completely collapse when they lost their handle a little bit.

There will always be more people succeeding than not - those who are not successful are vulnerable and easy to scapegoat and demonize. So it's smarter politics, although maybe not smarter policy, to play to the prejudices of those who have succeeded or are at least above water. Successful political factions have done this throughout history in many different countries. Those who stand up for the "have-nots" are almost always on the losing side...or get there quickly.

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Political Curmudgeon:

"... 3% margin of error"

Most of the dem/repub results in this poll are inside the margin i.e. it's a tie.

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