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US: Generic Ballot (Harris 8/9-16)

Topics: National , poll

Harris Interactive
8/9-16/10; 2,775 adults
Mode: Internet
(Harris release)

National

2010 CongressL Generic Ballot
345 Democrat, 33% Republican (chart)

Congressional Job Rating
2% Excellent, 14% Pretty Good, 35% Only Fair, 49% Poor

 

Comments
rdw4potus:

I like this question wording, but I fairly strongly disagree with Harris's scoring of the results. Fair is NOT a negative response.

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melvin:

The GOP is already planning what they re going to do when they take back the House...I got news for the GOP!! its not going to happen,because for one thing they're plans came out yesterday,and MSNBC gave it alot of coverage,and its having a very negative response around the Country..People don't want to go back to the Bush policies,and that is what the GOP plan does 100%.

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ath716:

Preference among those certain/likely to vote 39% GOP, 37% Dem. Preference for "probably will vote" is 37% tie. Preference for "will not vote" 25% Dem, 11% GOP. Dems have big lead among non-voters.

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Field Marshal:

MSNBC gave it alot of coverage

Luckily then no one saw it given no one watches that garbage except a few misinformed "progressives".

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melvin:

This poll also show if a tea-partier was in the race the Dems is going to win big..There is going to be at least 15 tea-partiers on the ballet this November,and 7 more tea-partiers is going to be running as independents,there is hot rumours J.D Hayworth is going to run as a independent for Senator in Arizona...Its look like the tea-partiers has thrown a monkey ranch into the GOP machine.

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CUWriter:

Seriously melvin, if you're not going to contribute to real discussion and analysis, take it over to Teagan Goddard's site or something. Even guys like FLAP contribute far more than you. Honestly, you're worse than "Tea Party Rules" who I assume is really nothing but a troll.

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gabe:

Melvin the fact you cite MSNBC as your source for where the opinions come from on the ideas makes it laughable at best.

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ath716:

"melvin" is just letting off some steam from his day job as Vice President of the United States.

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melvin:

FM: The news media,and the journalists respects MSNBC,but they don't respect Fox News period!!they see Fox News as a circus show...Fox News might have the big ratings,but they're not respected by other Networks or journalist....Many journalist don't like MSNBC,but they respect MSNBC....Fox News use to be highly respected before the Shirley Sherrod incident,and before Rupert Murdoch gave the Republican party 1 million dollars....Most Networks would rather be respected then liked,and Fox News is not respected or liked.

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Field Marshal:

Melvin,

If the news media and "journolists" respect MSNBC that's all i need to know that MSNBC is garbage. Its too bad MSNBC is not respected by the viewing public.

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iVote:

According to this poll, only 7% say they are part of the Tea Party. Why is the media so obsessed with such a tiny group?

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CUWriter:

Speaking as a journalist, I have no respect for MSNBC. I don't have any for FNC either.

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CompCon:

melvin:

When the GOP takes over the house, they are going to put nancy pelosi in prison, they are going to raise taxes on the poor and give it all to the rich, they are going to give tax breaks to any company willing to increase their polution, they are going to take away medicare, social security, healthcare, pensions, and Canadian whisky.

They are going to feed baby seals to school children for lunches and will make those children work in the factories after school.

They are going to repeal all of the amendments to the constitution and put Obama in the concentration camps they build for democrats.

MSNBC won't exist any more becuase those great big mean republicans are going to fry the journalists in peanut oil and eat them at a great big barbecue held for white republicans only.

Get a grip. You're sounding more stupid than usual.

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melvin:

To all you right-wingers on here: The GOP is going to have a very big problem come 2012,because it now appears they're voters don't want a Moderate on the ticket period! So how do you right-wingers think the GOP is going to win back the Whitehouse? How in the hell they're going to do it without having a Moderate on the ticket?...This is not 2000,when they did have two very bad Conservatives on the ticket,but America is never going to go for two very extreme Candidate's on the ticket ever again....In by the way CUWriter,Melvin dont preach hate,like this guy who calls himself Tea Party Rules.

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nick283:

The American people voted for two extremists in 2008. Whoever the GOP nominates will probably be more mainstream than Obama. I'm still hoping for Chris Christie.

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CUWriter:

I don't preach hate. I preach sanity and relevance (and conservatism). You're not bringing any of those elements into this conversation, so seriously, cut it out. You're not even a good troll; at least go way, way over the top and try to incite conflict.

At any rate, Obama was far from a centrist and he got elected just fine in 2008, didn't he? Reagan wasn't a centrist and he twice won handily. The key is to stick to your core values and to appeal to as many people as possible. You don't have to be a squish, you just have to have a moderate tone when it comes to your campaign. Christie did it by being "straightforward." McDonnell won by ignoring social issues and making the debate all about the economy. Obama won by not being Bush and by moving slightly to the right of HRC... at least during the campaign.

Run to your base in the primary and then adopt a moderate tone during the general while defending your positions. Then it's all up to the political winds, but that's how you win.

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Field Marshal:

Great post CUwriter. Too bad its above melvins head.

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Bukama:

CompCon

Had me laugh out loud at work - stop that!

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melvin:

I just cant believe you Republicans don't like to hear the truth...The GOP is a bunch of sore losers period..When the Dems loses the Whitehouse,they don't attack the President the next day...The GOP always go on the attack as soon as the Democratic President is sworn in to office..After the 1st WTC attack happened,2 Republican Senators went on Meet the press in blasted the Clinton Administration for being weak on defense,the Republican party even ran on it in 1994,but the Dems didn't attack Bush at all when 911 happened, in fact the Democratic party praised his efforts,and his approval rating shot up to 89% because of it,but when the GOP blasted Clinton after the 1st WTC attack his approval rating dropped to 52% from 64%...That is the difference between the Democrats in the Republicans.

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melvin:

Lastnight the Mason Dixon,and Quinnipiac pollsters was proven very bad outliers...Survey USA along with Rasmussen is going to be proven the same come November.

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melvin:

CUWriter: I didn't say you preach hate,i was referring to that tea-partier..Tea Party Rules..My god read the post before you jump to conclusions.

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melvin:

Why didn't Rasmussen do polls on the Primaries? Is it because Scott Rasmussen don't want to be proven an outlier before the Midterms?

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melvin:

CC: I admit to you that post was very clever...but very sarcastic.

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Bukama:

Melvin,

9/11 stopped what had been non-stop attacks on President Bush from the moment he took office. From the Clinton administration sabotaging the white house (removing W keys form the computers, gluing file cabinets shut, etc) to the drum beat of accuastions that Bush hadn't won Florida, it was unprecedented "sour grapes." 9/11 stopped it because the country was attacked.

And President Obama started his term with unprecedented high approval ratings. I think a large majority of America was ready to see if he really could bring us together. Then it turned outhe was just another politician, and the fall from grace was precipitous.

I'll be interested to see, if Republicans take the House, if we see a real push for bipartisanship. I'll also be interested to see if President Obama scales back his plans for "change" like Bill Clinton after getting spanked in the '94 elections.

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melvin:

nick283: Christie is to moderate to be nominated in the right-wing Republican party..But you never know the wingnuts might come back down to reality...Christie could be the Barack Obama of 2012...Obama came out of no where in won the hearts of Millions of Democrats back in 2008,could Christie do the same? Only time will tell.

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Field Marshal:

When will the wingnuts on the left come back to reality and nominate someone who is even left, let alone moderate instead of the far-left kind of candidates like Obama, Gore, and Kerry.

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melvin:

Bukama: Was America attacked on the 1st WTC attack? Pres Clinton didnot get praised from the GOP or the mainstream media the way George Bush did,and George Bush was not blasted by the democratic party the 1st day he walked into office..Obama was disrespected before he even took the oath..You can go in ask Justice Roberts that.

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Vance Ulrich:

You guys' stupid arguments are really pathetic!!! Get a life!

....But George Bush did not win the 2000 election. But I'm not hung over that. He was the gift that never stop giving for democrats. One of the largest congressional majorities in decades with a democrat in the white house.

Thank you George Bush!!

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tjampel:

Bukama: "I'll be interested to see, if Republicans take the House, if we see a real push for bipartisanship. I'll also be interested to see if President Obama scales back his plans for "change" like Bill Clinton after getting spanked in the '94 elections."

1. What is bipartisanship for you? To me it's, for example, Lindsay Graham working with Kerry on climate or with Dems on Immigration, since Republicans are absolutely needed to pass either one.

Do you really think that any Republican can afford to work with Dems on this...on anything else. Murkowski reaches across the aisle on one bill and gets creamed in the Primary. Bennett goes "rogue" on about 7 bills of consequence over his career and is cast aside. I don't see motivation for Republicans to be bipartisan. Do you? If so why should they, especially if they're winning?

2. Obama has to scale back his plans if Repubs take the House, let alone the Senate. It's not a choice.

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Field Marshal:

Uh, see your first two sentences for a proper response to that remark.

He was the gift that never stop giving for democrats. One of the largest congressional majorities in decades with a democrat in the white house.

As will be Obama.

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Farleftandproud:

I do agree with the comment that the GOP is throwing out their old rational conservatives like Bennett, Murkowski and others to bring on their completely anti-choice, repeal Obamacare agenda. The tea party can be summed up in my view as a much of ignorant bastards who have been brainwashed by anger, lies, and for some religion; I don't mean mainstream religion, I mean some in Christianity who have made Christ into a self serving conservative, which he wasn't. Compare a White Southern Baptist church for example, to your average African American church in a big city, and you wonder why they can worship the same God, but by the color of their skin of such a different opinion of what God stands for.

You've also got all of this tied into a racial component. Glen Beck for some odd reason deciding to make his rant in public on an anniversary of MLK's speach.

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Farleftandproud:

It is unfortunate that 9/11 had to happen, but the Bush propoganda machine used fear and a build up to war, and one of our worst president's ever actually gained seats that year. As a progressive in 2002 I felt so cheated the Democrats didn't have this same 2nd year post-presidential wave election favoring the opposing party. I know Reagan and Clinton did, and I think LBJ but what is sad is the GOP does it's own purity tests by not electing it's more moderate conservatives for tea party madmen or women like Sharron Angle.

What is so strange is that maybe I don't live in PA or Ohio where voters change their mind and are such swing voters.

Perhaps NY and VT voters are more grounded than that, but I don't know anyone who voted for Obama who has second thoughts about not voting for him. Most of them think there are times he could have done better or handled things differently but to think that there are many people questioning why they voted for him, I just don't get, if they liked him to begin with.

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Field Marshal:

FLAP,

VT and NY voters are very regressive which is why they favor the Democrats and policies that will revert us to the 1930's.

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Nick:

Obama really isn't that extreme, it amazes me that tea partiers are all in a lather about somebody who pushed through Romney's healthcare idea, basically supports at continuation of Bush's education policy, and is probably comparable to Nixon on environmental issues. Some people just like to whine.

As for comments about MSNBC being biased, maybe its just taking a page from the Fox playbook. I prefer New York times to MSNBC myself though.

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Nick:

Referring to my last comment, if any conservative accuses me of being a latte-drinking nytimes reading elitist geek,... so what..., anybody spending time on this website is a politics/news junkie and probably similar to me in that respect compared to most people. Whether you read WSJ or NYT, you are basically someone who engages in a certain way, also that holds if you are visiting and commenting this website.

Likewise if you watch Fox or MSNBC you are probably someone who engages in a certain way- maybe likes to have your news presented in a way that feels friendly to your preconceptions, I'll take CNN over either of those stations, I'm obviously in a minority there, but then again pure majority rule was never the intent of the American experiment in democracy.

That is where the August/November disconnect comes in, the tea partiers, progressives, and political junkies who are following this all now are generally probably more outraged than the average voter, but I predict a moderation when the average voter comes to the booth in November. It is like the calculation that Tancredo could carry a Colorado ballot, he's popular among the worked up minority, but he doesn't float among the silent majority.

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