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US: Health Care (Rasmussen 3/23-24)

Topics: poll

Rasmussen
3/23-24/10; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

National

Will the health care plan passed by Congress and signed into law by President Obama be good for the country or bad for the country?
41% Good, 49% Bad

A proposal has been made to repeal the health care bill and stop it from going into effect. Do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose a proposal to repeal the health care bill?
55% Favor, 42% Oppose

In this November's congressional election, suppose you have a choice between one candidate who wants to repeal the health care plan and another candidate who opposes repeal. Which candidate would you support - the one who wants to repeal the plan or the one who opposes repeal?
52% Favors repeal, 41% Opposes repeal

Is the health care reform legislation passed by Congress and signed into law by President Obama likely to increase the deficit, reduce the deficit or have no impact on the deficit?
60% Increase, 19% Reduce, 12% No impact

Regardless of the impact on the nation at large, what type of impact will the health care plan have on you personally. Will the health care plan be good for you personally, bad for you personally, or will it have no impact on you personally?
26% Good, 43% Bad, 25% No impact

 

Comments
OKCJ88:

Wow... I generally don't say that polls are blatantly prejudice, but... I think this one might be. What was the ratio of people polled for this? Anyone know?

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Wong:

Rasmussen polls of likely voters, are always, without question, overweighted for Republicans. I don't even click on them anymore, unless I need a good laugh.

The inconsistencies in the numbers would raise the hackle of even the freshest of freshmen in applied statistics.

I would recommend just passing them up for a clearer view of public opinion.

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twitter.com/strobe3:

Will Rass just give it up already? It passed, no need in your bias Fox loving polls. I want to see the financial regulation poll, if it does not have a clear majority, we REALLY know Rass is biased.

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Field Marshal:

You guys are funny. You bemoan the Ras polls but when other firms come out with similar results, suddenly there is just crickets.

The polling is obviously going to be more negative because it is using the likely voter automated model as opposed to adults and live telephone interviews.

The Ras polls are good to see how the people who vote like or dislike the bill as opposed to the general population. Depends on what you are after.

To dismiss the results because of ideology is probably not the wisest move.

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LordMike:

"You guys are funny. You bemoan the Ras polls but when other firms come out with similar results, suddenly there is just crickets. "

Gallup had the exact opposite results, and even the last Fox News poll (which Nate Silver said was the most rigged poll ever) only had 45% repeal.

No one likes things taken away from them... Repeal isn't a winning issue at all... all you'll do is own the ills of the insurance companies, sine you will be fighting on their behalf. You really want to be on their side? go ahead... I can think of no better motivator of Dem turnout than that. You're awaking a sleeping giant.

It doesn't matter... the GOP is already running away form the "repeal" thing 'cos they know it's a loser.

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GARY WAGNER:

You're right, Field Marshall. The lefties have added thousands of links to the phony "wingnut" poll of paid respondents who received money if they were willing to claim they were republicans but they dismiss the rasmussen poll.

In the poll they liked earlier this week they said that the pollster didn't matter - the trend is what mattered.

When people see the replacement offered that does everything this is supposed to do and is 95% less expensive and intrusive, they'll choose repeal and replace.

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Field Marshal:

LM,

Thanks for making my point. Those polls don't use the likely voter automated model. Gallup uses adults and i think Fox used registered voters.

I agree the repeal thing is a loser. Its better to let people see ObamaCare fail and then run on REPLACING it. When people see there premiums rise by double digits over the next few years like it did in Mass., they will be mad as he11. The people the bill helps, already were voting for the Dems so its the 83% or so who were happy with their healthcare who will be fuming. So, like i said, better to let people see it fail.

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twitter.com/strobe3:

Yes of course LM, those with pre-exisiting conditions are definitely DEMS and those small business owners are nothing but commies and socialists who used ACORN to get loans form the banks to start their businesses...YAWN

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Field Marshal:

twitt,

Do you know the percentage of people that even care about pre-existing conditions? Its minuscule and less than 1% of the population.

Currently, people on employer based health insurance have no reason to care about pre-existing conditions. Only those on individual private insurance policies care. The percentage of the population on private individual insurance is 3%. 3%!! The number of those who have to worry about pre-existing conditions is less than a third of that number.

Then, there is the 15% of the population without insurance. Most of those are medicaid eligible and are uninsured because of poverty. Another portion are those who are young and rather not pay for it. So, pre-existing conditions effect VERY few people in the total population.

Small business owners are now going be very likely to be solidly republican versus mildly more republican previously. They are also much more likely to hire temp or contract workers to avoid this bill and also not go above 49 employees. Great for the jobs recovery!

If you want to really yawn, i can start complaining about Ras' bias again. THAT'S like a broken record.

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James Appenzeller:

Take a look at the Rasmussen poll for Obamas overall approval. Anyone else notice that almost all of the red dots at the top are Rasmussen? This is obviously statistically significant. Anyone have analysis on Rasmussen and their accuracy in the presidential election?

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Field Marshal:

James,

They were the most accurate in '08. I believe in '04 they were one of the closest, if not the closest.

The dots are because they force the people to make a decision eliminating the 'undecided' category.

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GARY WAGNER:

Field Marshal, the problem with waiting for Obamacare to fail is that I will fail before that happens. I have tremendous healthcare costs because of my wife's disability - and that is with good employer insurance. She has medicare part A because of her disability but they have never paid a single dime in the $50,000 in claims I have filed over the past 10 years she has been on it. Obamacare makes things so much worse that it will probably take me under before people rise up in revolt.

Dealing with insurance companies is a nightmare. Dealing the the federal government is a nightmare on steroids. Obamacare means dealing with both the insurance comapnies and the federal government. It isn't a nightmare - it is a death sentence for many people.

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