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US: Health Care (Rasmussen 8/9-10)


Rasmussen
8/9-10/09; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: IVR
(Rasmussen release)

National

Generally speaking, do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the health care reform plan proposed by President Obama and the congressional Democrats?

42% Favor, 53% Oppose (chart)

If the health care reform plan passes, will the quality of health care get better, worse, or stay about the same?

26 % Better, 51% Worse, 17% Same

If the health care reform plan passes, will the cost of health care go up, go down, or stay about the same?

51% Up, 19% Down, 21% Same

 

Comments
jack:

Why do all Rasmussen polls tell Republicans want they want to hear?

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Stillow:

@jack

Why do you ask the same question over and over?

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Field Marshal:

Jack,

Because they are the truth and the truth has a republican bias.

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ThatMarvelousApe:

@jack

Ras probably oversamples conservative-leaning districts.

@Field Marshal

If Ras issues polls were an accurate reflection of popular opinion, there never would have been a Dem landslide in 2006 and 2008, and the Republican Party's approval ratings wouldn't be in the basement. The increasing Republican reliance on Rasmussen's "good news" has a corrosive impact on your party, as it prevents your increasingly shrinking base from facing the hard facts about where the center is in this country.

But if you feel having Ras tell you your party's popular while you lose election after election is worth it, I'm certainly not going to stop you.

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JMSTiger:

@ ThatMarvelousApe

There is no doubt that Rasmussen is a Republican/conservative polling unit, but I don't think it is wise to completely dismiss these results because of their accuracy in the past. Rasmussen nailed the 2004 and 2008 Presidential elections. Polling done by Gallup, Zogby, Newsweek, CBS News/NYT and many others were way off in 2008.

Also, one reason Rasmussen's polling tends to diverge from many of these other polls is because Rasmussen only polls "likely voters". That sample tends to be slightly more Republican and conservative, especially in comparison to polls that survey "all adults". Obviously, when you poll "all adults", you are going to get a more favorable result for Democrats/liberals. The problem with the "all adults" polling is that all adults do not vote, especially in off-year elections. In 2010, we will be lucky to see 45% of the electorate coming out. An "all adults" poll is meaningless if you are trying to gauge what voters are going to do as we get closer to November of 2010.

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Wong:

The internals indicate Ras showing Rep/43% and Dem 38% generic congressional ballot. This puts them 6-8 pts out of whack It's simple to do the math. Health care plan: 46% favor -49% oppose( oppose include 9% SOMEWHAT oppose- mostly Dems who dont think the plan is strong enough). This puts them in line with other polling. When reading a Ras poll, it helps to remember their data base include testing for prefixes which are Repubs and vice-versa.

Although they can do good polling, they are masters at push polling. Many polling sites refuse to include them. They know the numbers they want, then they fish for them until they "catch" them

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Stillow:

Polling showing support for health reform fading are correct. Support is eroding.

There is one simple way the Dems can silence the opposition and pass this thing easily....and that is to simply remove the exemption for g'ment. If Congress said we will be happy to be on the same system as everyone else, the oppostiion woudl be weakend. But since Congress exempts themselves, it gives the perception that they know the system will be a burocratic nightmare.

Its as simple as that, if Congress would not hold one standard for themselves and one for everyone else, then the polling would probably be reversed and you'd see healthy leads for it rather than healthy leads against it.

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