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US: Health Care (Rasmussen 9/10-11)


Rasmussen
9/10-11/09; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: IVR
(Rasmussen release)

National

Generally speaking, do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the health care reform plan proposed by President Obama and the congressional Democrats?
47% Favor, 49% Oppose (chart)

If the health care reform plan passes, will the quality of health care get better, worse, or stay about the same?
28% Better, 46% Worse, 20% Same

If the health care reform plan passes, will the cost of health care go up, go down, or stay about the same?
47% Up, 23% Down, 22% Same

 

Comments
Bigmike:

Ras went from oppose +9 in their 8th-9th survey to oppose +2 in this one. So BO must have said some things that moved a decent number of people.

The thing I find interesting is that there was no real movement in the difference between those who think health care will cost more and those who think it will cost less, or in those who think quality will be better vs those who think quality will be worse. Cost more went from +24 to +25 and quality worse from +19 to +18.

So apparently 5-7% of us were convinced that we should go along with the dem plan even tho health care costs will increase and quality will decrease.

BO does give a good scripted speech. I missed it so maybe I am giving him too much credit.

But can he deliver the goods? Lots of folks can give a good speech. Not many can get the far left and blue dogs on the same page.

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Stephen_W:

That is definitely the crux of the issue Bigmike. I think more than anything else Obama needed to convince the people who voted for him but have been wavering on healthcare (moderate/conservative Democrats and Indies), and those on the far left demanding the public option, that this is the right thing to do for the country, regardless of whether that public option makes the final cut.

He did just that with his speech, and I think healthcare passage went from a 50-50 proposition to something much more promising. He moved the needle with Democrats and indies, since they were the only ones watching the address, and the only ones not hellbent on its defeat. The fact that healthcare reform has never been this close to passing is promising for him and the Dems.

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TruthMeter:

There hasn't been much of a bounce in terms of Obama's approval.

Rasmussen: 50% approval prior to speech, today 51%.

Gallup: 51/41 prior to speech, today 53/40.

It'll be interesting to see if his numbers drop tomorrow when Thursday rolls off. That may have been Obama's best day of polling. If they do drop, then Obama may not have given himself much of a bounce, if any, because his approval rating is only, now three days in, 1-2 points better than his approval prior to the speech.

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Stephen_W:

Well, regardless of whether you think Raz's numbers are right (his likely voter system is so out of whack with every other poll), his poll shows a +6 pt swing in approval/dissaproval. 48/51 before the speech, to 51/48 after. I think we'll find out more next week if there really is a bump, but there's no evidence so far that this will be short-lived.

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