Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

US: McCain 48, Obama 44 (GWU-9/7-11)

Topics: PHome

George Washington University /
Tarrance Group (R) / Lake Research (D)
9/7-11/08; 1,000 LV, 3.1%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

National
McCain 48, Obama 44, Barr 1, Nader 1
(August: McCain 47, Obama 46)

 

Comments
faithhopelove:

This poll is stale. It was in the field over a week ago, and it includes McCain's bounce days plus a day of polling on 9/11.

____________________

Snowspinner:

McCain's week-old bounce happened. News at 11.

____________________

NW Patrick:

I think there is no doubt McCain's bounce will be gone and he will be traling by next week.

____________________

KipTin:

This is an excellent poll because it has both Democrat and Republican analysis.

http://www.gwu.edu/~newsctr/battleground.cfm

____________________

Snowspinner:

KipTin - It's a great poll. From a week ago.

____________________

KipTin:

So you deign to dismiss the oppositional analysis of the poll in favor of a quick fix? Trends do not matter anymore? Only polls showing Obama advantage are worthwhile? I just hope I do not read anything about "dumb" or "stupid" voters from either of you (faithopelove and Snowspinner).

____________________

Dan E.:

Man. What a waste of time.

____________________

slinky:

The disaster that is McCain's health plan for working people:

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/09/16/opinion/16herbert.html?hp

____________________

slinky:

Americans deserve the leadership they elect!

____________________

slinky:

Something appears to have moved in the Gallup:

http://www.gallup.com/poll/107674/Gallup-Daily-Election-2008.aspx

____________________

Save US:

Slinky.. i agree with u when u say a country deserves the president they have...

____________________

Snowspinner:

KipTin - Trends matter a great deal. But this needs to be looked at in the trend for the time it was conducted. And it fits squarely with the trend we already knew about from then.

____________________

Boris:

Hey, the poll is dated. Period. I'm perfectly willing to see data that is bad news for my team, and there's plenty of that without having to concede results from an out-dated poll. Daily tracking polls show the race to be a dead-heat as of today. No one's going to win an election because of the battle for spin coming out of these blogs. So we might as well try to have that rarest of all things, an intelligent and honest discussion about what the heck is going on.

Smooch to all.

Boris

____________________

KipTin:

The only thing these comments indicate to me is that no one is willing to take the time to read the analysis. Especially, since the Democrat analysis had lots of "goodies" to help Obamanation feel hopeful as well as have some arguments for their cause.

Lazy. Waste of time. Needs instant gratification. Last week is old. Hmmm. Reminds me of a teenager.

Well, I am done here being the adult.

____________________

freedomreigns:

This was clearly accurate from the 9/7-9/11 timeline.

____________________

vandrop:

@ KipTin

Nice try, how about we put that into the polls from four days ago, while we look at the ones from the 13-15th now (i.e. Gallup, Hotline, Rasmussen, Research 2000), like a logical person?

____________________

Boris:

ok, ok, Kip Tin, I see your point. The GWU data are perplexing. It has McCain ahead, but on a number of variables, Obama or the Democrats come out more favorable. Democratic congressional candidates seem to be doing well; the age of Mccain seems like a bigger issue for some voters than does "lack of experience" for Obama. On jobs, Obama does really well, and that seems like a bigger issue than security related ones. However, if you add terrorism and the war they total 18% which is by far the second most important issue. It would be good to see the crosstabs on a number of these things. It does suggest, however, that the McCain lead in this poll is pretty tenuous, should the economy and social welfare issues become important, as they seem to have. So,Kip Tin, are you happier now?

Boris, Riverside, California (Deep in Red California)

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR