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US: National Survey (1/29-2/1)

Topics: poll

Zogby
1/29-2/1/10; 2,525 likely voters, 2% margin of error
Mode: Internet
(Zogby release)

National

Obama Job Approval
50% Approve, 49% Disapprove (chart)

State of the Country
39% Right Direction, 53% Wrong Track (chart)

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

This poll is pretty good for Zogby. They are usually hard on Democratic candidates because they usually use the LV model.

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Farleftandproud:

Zogby had Obama losing the electoral map after Palin's speech in Sept 08. I remember they had Obama behind by 16 in NC and 8 in NH. Things can change quickly in American politics.

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DFW freethinker:

Rick Perry may very well be the next President. There is an excellent article written in Texas Monthly this month by an author that is not exactly a conservative outlining this prospect. I hope we have a new President in 2012, but not so sure Rick Perry is someone I could back. Perry is a master politician and Texas has done very well economically (which is more important now than ever). He could use this issue to pulverize Republicans and Democrats if the economy is still not robust in 2012.

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VA Dem:

Reagan had a 35% approval rating when he had 10% unemployment in 1983. That, coupled with the deficit problems (two wars, Medicare Part D, two massive rounds of tax cuts) make 50% look like Lincoln. Reagan and Clinton got crush in their first mid-terms. This will almost certainly be the case with Obama. But history shows that he'll recover.

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Aaron_in_TX:

"Rick Perry may very well be the next President"

Texas Monthly is not conservative. You should know that. They were trying be provocative and/or sensational with the Perry piece.

I'd like you to name one thing that he's done as governor that's good. I know him mostly for promoting toll roads, the overly ambitious and unpopular Trans Texas Corridor, almost letting schools go without textbooks a few years ago, and asserting that Texas can secede from the United States. What a great governor he is. Our unemployment rate is 8.3%, on a par with New Mexico and Maine, but in the first debate he seemed to think we had added jobs, not lost them.

How people can still support him is beyond me.

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Xenobion:

Texas style has left a bad taste in American's mouths. Good luck with that.

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DFW freethinker:

As I said, I am not sure I could back Perry for President. However, I can name two things he has not done to me. My taxes have not gone up (because we have no state income tax as some state Democrats want), and I still have a job that was not eliminated by an experimental new government social program.

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Thaddeus:

Come back and tell me what your tax rates are when you run out of oil. Resource rich states seem to think it's their political economic model, that gives them success. Rather than just taxing the heck out of some corporation for pulling stuff out of the ground.

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moheroy:

Wait till he wins reelection, I'm not sure it will happen.

Perry is not popular enough in Texas for a national run if you ask me, Out of state Republicans seem to think he is the bee's knees for some reason, but he barely won reelection last time with less than 40% of the vote, against a weak Democrat from Houston, and two spoilers.

Texas is very Republican, but Perry is well to the Right of the state as a whole, in addition his toll road mania, and continual interference in licensing boards, and general contempt for anyone who can't do him an immediate favor have pretty much alienated much of the Republican base in Central Texas and the Houston Metro.

If he takes down Hutchinson in the primary, I think he might yet fall to Bill White, who has been a very business like Democrat with oodles of big money Republican support in the Houston Metro.

Personally I want Hutchinson to win, because I'd like to keep the seat (she would slaughter White in November), but I think this may be White's year, which would help the Dems in redistricting as we get a whole pile of new seats in the next census.

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moheroy:

Thaddeus,

You do realize that all Oil and Gas revenue come to only 3% of the State's budget, right?

Texas Property Taxes are the Highest in the nation, and we spend money on nothing, that's why other taxes are low.

There is not a lot of oil left here, what makes Texas the center of the industry is expertise, and a favorable business climate. Think more Silicon Valley than some Gulf State. Houston has more geologists than any other city in the world after Riyadh, and the same is true for many other specialty fields.

Whatever reason Texas's economy is taking things less hard than the rest of the country, for now, is not because of oil & gas revenue.

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Aaron_in_TX:

I was going to say that, depending on your county, property taxes are very high here, and sales taxes are higher than average. It's not like we pay no taxes, although not having to deal with the hassle of a state income tax is nice.

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