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US: National Survey (ARG 1/17-20)

Topics: poll

American Research Group
1/17-20/10; 1,100 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(ARG release)

National

Obama Job Approval
51% Approve, 45% Disapprove (chart)
Reps: 12 / 85 (chart)
Dems: 79 / 20 (chart)
Inds: 50 / 44 (chart)
Economy: 46 / 48 (chart)

 

Comments
BH:

Again, another poll that seems to oversample Dems and/or Indies. The high water mark for Dems and Indies came in the last election and that split worked out to be 37D-32R-29I. Re-weighting this poll for those splits brings Obama's approve/disapprove to 48/47 which is consistent with Gallup's latest poll.

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Xenobion:

You think that Republicans should be sampled over 32%? I'd like to see the justification.

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