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US: National Survey (Bloomberg 7/9-12)

Topics: National , poll

Bloomberg
7/9-12/10; 1,004 adults, 3.1% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Bloomberg: story, toplines)

National

Obama Job Approval
52% Approve, 44% Disapprove (chart)
Economy: 44 / 52 (chart)
Health care: 46 / 51 (chart)

2010 Congress: Generic Ballot
All adults: 43% Democratic candidate, 43% Republican candidate
Likely voters (n=875): 48% Republican candidate, 40% Democratic candidate (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 55 / 40 (chart)
Sarah Palin: 33 / 55 (chart)
Mitt Romney: 33 / 26 (chart)
Mike Huckabee: 33 / 38 (chart)
Hillary Clinton: 61 / 31 (chart)

Turning to the health care bill passed earlier this year, what is your opinion of the bill?
37% It should be repealed, 47% We should see how it works

Whom do you blame most for the spill in the Gulf?
44% BP, the oil company doing the drilling
19% Lax federal regulations and oversight
12% The danger of deepwater drilling in general
22% No one is really to blame; it was just an accident

Do you think the spill proves off-shore drilling is just too dangerous and should be banned in U.S. waters, or was this a freak accident and offshore drilling can be made safer and should not be banned?
23% Just too dangerous
73% Was a freak accident

 

Comments
obamalover:

Not even registered voters. Just adults.

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SC Guy:

Amongst likely voters, the GOP holds a 48%-40% lead in the congressional generic ballot. Nice. Let's hope that holds and grows!

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Crimsonite:

This is like the opposite of the YouGov/Polimetrix polls as far as Obama Approval and Generic Ballot. This has the Republicans owning the Generic Ballot, but with Obama at high approval (though for Adults) and YouGov has Obama at lower than average approval but a generic ballot more favorable to Democrats.

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Huda:

umm, they are tied with dems in congressional generic ballot. Now, on the likely voters, it only matters in October, then dems would be screwed if stays the same. Hence, why Rusmussen is always off base until its closer to election period and ends up reflecting everyone else's polling results.

ps. what was the gloom about Obama on this poll, from the article I've read on Bloomberg site, one would think it was bad. Gotta love mainstream media, they either hype you or diminish you, very entertaining.

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Field Marshal:

Huda,

The gloom from Obama on the poll that is talked about in the story was him being underwater on all job approval details: economy, deficit, creating jobs, afgh. etc.

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Huda:

ok, thanks.

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Poll Troll:

WOW the environmentalists are going to CRY CRY CRY! I'm from the gulf coast, I know these people, drill baby drill.

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JMSTiger:

First poll to show Obama's approval above 50% since ABC News/Washington Post poll of June 3-6 (also "All Adults").

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seg:

Huda:
"Rusmussen is always off base until its closer to election period and ends up reflecting everyone else's polling results."

You do realize that in the fall all pollsters will either switch to LV or quit polling (to avoid later embarrassment)?

They do that because adult and RV have very little predictive power while LV is pretty reliable.

Finally, from everything I have read (especially Gallup), voter behavior and intent is not likely to change much at all between now and 2 Nov. Hence, there is no particularly good reason to wait until fall to go to LV.

In other words, it will take a major event for the demos to unscrew themselves. In fact, it is more likely that they will further screw themselves.

Finally, note the close similarity to Rasmussen's generic vote polls. Once again Ras is seducing other pollsters and the American people into changing their behavior to match him.

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Aaron_in_TX:

"Hence, there is no particularly good reason to wait until fall to go to LV."

Typically you have to register to vote about 30 days prior to an election. Some states' deadlines are later or in the case of MN you can do it at the polling place (I think that gives the dems a strong advantage there).

So I think it's appropriate to wait until about 40-60 days out to start using LVs.

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Farleftandproud:

Wow. Probably Rasmussen if they were to include non-likely voters would be virtually tied. Something not right about this poll because HCR is a little under 50 percent favorability and Obama's approval is 52 percent approval? It sounds like they substracted a huge chunk of people.

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jamesia:

The discrepancy between what the majority of people want in this country and the fact that most of them don't come out and vote. Just how dead would the GOP be if voter turnout increased?

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