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US: National Survey (CBS 1/6-10)

Topics: poll

CBS News
1/6-10/10; 1,216 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CBS: results, Job Approval story, Health Care story, Guantanamo story, Air Travel story)

National

Obama Job Approval
46% Approve, 41% Disapprove (chart)
Reps: 13 / 79 (chart)
Dems: 81 / 11 (chart)
Inds: 42 / 40 (chart)
Economy: 41 / 47 (chart)
Health Care: 36 / 54 (chart)
Afghanistan: 46 / 38
Terrorism: 52 / 35

Do you approve or disapprove of the way ______ in Congress are handling health care?
Dems: 29 / 57
Reps: 24 / 61

Do you think the changes to the health care system under consideration in Congress go too far in trying to provide health insurance to as many Americans as possible, don't go far enough, or are the changes about right?
32% Too far, 35% Not far enough, 22% About right

Do you think the changes to the health care system under consideration in Congress go too far in trying to control costs, don't go far enough, or are the changes about right?
24% Too far, 39% Not far enough, 21% About right

Do you think the changes to the health care system under consideration in Congress go too far in trying to regulate the health insurance industry, don't go far enough, or are the changes about right?
27% Too far, 43% Not far enough, 18% About right

Party ID
30% Democrat, 25% Republican, 45% independent (chart)

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

Kind of strange he is ranked higher for foreign policy than the domestic issues which historically has been reversed in the past. Dems always did better on the economy and the GOP did better on foreign policy. The only time a Republican ever won an election due to the bad economy was Reagan in 1980. As we know, for Reagan things got worse before they got better economically.

My God, our recession is an International problem, not a Democrat or Republican problem. If the GOP does well next November, I am convinced the economy will not improve instantly. In fact, we need another stimulus before the November elections. If the GOP was in power, unemployment benefits wouldn't have been extended and a lot of people would be left high and dry. If people think the GOP will create jobs any better than the Democrats, I would bet 1000 dollars that they won't.

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jack:

You know Obama is in trouble when his approval in the extremely Obama-friendly CBS is identical to Rasmussen's.

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Stillow:

Farleftandproud

Bush won in 2000 in part due to the recession that the tech bubble pop.A lot of people got hurt pretty badly when the Nasdaw crashed under Clinton...so Bush won in part due to the 2000 recession....as the opposing party always does when there is a recession. Its like clockwork.


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Stillow:

Nasdaq!!!!!!!!

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sjt22:

@ Jack

Way to misread a simple chart.

Yes, the approval here is the same as Ras. But what about the dissaproval? (hint: its a lot lower). Clearly there is a different research design here, as 13% of the population is unaccounted for, a percentage you don't see with Ras or Gallup.

Split that down the middle, and Obama gets 53-47. Not bad. It would take a 4% pro versus 9% negative just to get to 50-50.

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Cyril Washbrook:

On the three questions about health care measures, between 84-89 per cent respondents expressed an opinion. One doubts that there is such widespread knowledge about the provisions in the bills!

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Williame123:

Stillow

The claim that Bush won in part due to the "2000 recession" is preposterous. There was no recession in 2000. The recession started in March 2001. In fact Al Gore RAN ON the Clinton adminitration's economic record and it was an outstanding one. Clinton left office with the highest approval rating of any post-WWII president.

The fact that Bush lost the popular vote despite the impeachment and humiliation of Clinton tells you just how good the economy was.

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jack:

sjt, I wasn't talking about net approval. I was talking about approval.

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Field Marshal:

The 13% missing is what makes the PPP and Ras model so effective. It forces you to make a decision. Couple that with the 4 tiered model of Ras where you can choose "somewhat" approve or disapprove and you get a much larger participation rate of those on the cusp. In addition, the automated model takes away the bias some have of saying they do not like the president to another human. This is why the Ras model is so accurate and why libs don't like it in favor of clearly partisan outfits like CBS.

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CUWriter:

36/54 approval on health care. Ouch. I mean big time ouch.

And while I know the netroots would want to crow about it being largely all about the reforms "not going far enough" and that Obama is losing support from the left... it's not mostly that. Crosstabs show 10/84 for GOPers, 35-53 for indies but 59-29 for Dems. Yes that's higher than his disapproval on economy but comparable to Afghanistan. So is Obama losing support on healthcare from the left? Yes. Is it the biggest reason his approval is sinking on the issue? No way.

As far as the economy goes, no kidding if the GOP wins in November things won't "turn around instantly." This is a problem that has to mostly work itself out in the private sector. I think a GOP win will mean less hurdles for the market and less distortion because the gov't will interfere less, but this problem was one caused by a confluence of major factors including a bubble mentality by consumers, extreme over investment in MBS by banks and international savers, excessive supply brought on by speculative building and artificially low interest rates. More deficit spending will accomplish nothing but to kick the can down the road even farther and get us into more debt. It's time to cut the nonsense, take our medicine and let the front line folks like the loan officers, the small business owners and inventors deal with reviving the economy. All the gov't should be doing is making sure it's not putting too onerous restrictions on their ability to innovate.

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Stillow:

Williame123

The econmy began to slow in early 2000...and then the stock bust..which hit peoples wallets hard in 2000, that was rpobably enough to give Bush the advantage in key states like NH, FL, etc. The official recession did not start until 2001, but as everyone knows, the pain begin far before the actual technical recession starts.............

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Stillow:

...and this probably really hurt cbs to post. CBS is probably the most blatantly biased of all the networks excluding msnbc. For them to post a 46 percent approval is really astonishing. The prez is in real big trouble right now. HCR is totally working him over.

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Aaron_in_TX:

The largest portion of people are that they don't think the health care bill does enough to lower costs. People want cheaper health care, it eats up 15-20% of people's incomes, can cause you to go bankrupt if you don't have insurance, and there's no sign it's going to get any cheaper whatsoever.

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Aaron_in_TX:

At least the current bill tries to fix the not having insurance and going bankrupt part. But it doesn't fix the cost part for those who are not within 400% of the poverty line.

It would have been very easy for democrats to just focus on some jobs programs and not take on a divisive issue like health care. Where were the republicans for 12 years on health care? They did nothing. No, wait, they passed HIPAA, a "bi-partisan" bill that made things worse.

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Aaron_in_TX:

They also passed medicare part D, which also made things worse, arguably.

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Stillow:

That is right aaron, people want cheaper care....which is why they oppose the current HCR because it will make all our costs go UP! Higher premiums and higher taxes. its a double wammy!

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Aaron_in_TX:

I don't think anyone understands how to really make it cheaper. There is simply too much demand and it's too difficult to become a provider.

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Stillow:

Well you certainly don't make it go down by what they are doing. Raising taxes on us, then the g'ment programs would pay less than there actual invoice amounts causing private premiums to be raised to cover the g'ment shortfall....thats exactly what happens with medicare right now, the g'ment drives up prices on private carrriers and all of us.

You can help it go down by passing tort reform which would lowe the cost of doctors and hopsitals. You can allow private carriers to compete nationally across state lines.

Right now the theory is jus tto pass soemthing. The democratic leadership has concluded that passing a bad bill is better than no bill...that is what we will get is a really bad bill that both the left and the right do not like for there respective reasons. I mean no one really likes this bill out of the senate....Dems are banking o nthe media bailing them out after its passage, but it won't work. The 2010 and 2012 elections will be centered around repealing whatever bill ends up passing with promises to put together a real HCR bill that makes sense and actually helps to reduce costs.

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Field Marshal:

You need a mechanism to increase competition in the market place. If someone else is always paying, what incentive do i as the end user have to care about what something costs?

Artificially constricting supply like in many single payer systems won't work here. People will not stand for the long waits and lesser quality care.

Additionally, we should be giving away green cards to any foreigner that has graduated from an acceptable medical school overseas. We did this before 1964 until the new immigration laws applied.

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Thaddeus:

The thing is we not adding ALL new people or paying for ALL more people. There is no real "uncompensated" care, it just gets shifted to local taxes at the county hospital or insurance premiums. Making people "buy" subsidized or not into care just puts them on the actual books rather than some other line item elsewhere.

So Stillow, are you saying that Medicare should just let Seniors pay actual cost for services, so it wouldn't drive up costs on the rest of us? Or pay market rates and tax us for the difference? Or like Flordia pay private carriers to manage the health costs at a 7-13% high cost then traditional medicare and tax us for the difference?

You could also lower costs by costs by passing that all health carriers had to be non-profit as some countries and states have done.

Tort reform is like saying if we had welfare reform or removed ear-marks we could solve the deficit problem. Not enough there sorry.

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Field Marshal:

"You could also lower costs by costs by passing that all health carriers had to be non-profit as some countries and states have done. "

This will make little if any difference in the cost of health care. It is a very small one time gain that will most likely be offset by lower productivity a a few years.

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