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US: National Survey (CNN 8/6-10)

Topics: National , poll

CNN / Opinion Research Corporation
8/6-10/10; 1,009 adult, 3% margin of error
935 registered voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN release)

National

Obama Job Approval
47% Approve, 51% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 83 / 16 (chart)
Reps: 8 / 90 (chart)
Inds: 44 / 54 (chart)

2010 Congress: Generic Ballot
Registered voters: 48% Republican, 45% Democrat (chart)
Adults: 47% Democrat, 45% Republican

Please tell me whether you think each of the following political officeholders deserves to be reelected or not:

The U.S. representative in your congressional district:
Adults: 52% Yes, deserves, 42% No, does not
Registered voters: 51% Yes, deserves, 44% No, does not

Most members of Congress:
Adults: 34% Yes, Deserves, 62% No, does not
Registered voters: 31% Yes, deserves, 65% No, does not

Most Democratic members of Congress:
Adults: 38% Yes, Deserves, 58% No, does not
Registered voters: 36% Yes, deserves, 60% No, does not

Most Republican members of Congress:
Adults: 40% Yes, Deserves, 55% No, does not
Registered voters: 40% Yes, deserves, 56% No, does not

 

Comments
StatyPolly:

The most telling questions here are 9 and 10. To me at least.

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Aaron_in_TX:

Well, compared to Bush's numbers in 2005-2006, the answers on 9&10 don't look so bad. Obama still has net 10 points to lose before he hits Bush level. He's also a little better than Clinton's 1994 numbers.

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melvin:

A few top Democrats is convinced Obama wants them to lose the House in Nov..Gibbs was just doing what Obama wanted him to do said Rep: Rush of ILL.

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StatyPolly:

Well, he better hurry up and get to work.

He only has 82 days left. But I have faith in BO:-)

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StatyPolly:

Well, he better hurry up and get to work.

He only has 82 days left. But I have faith in BO:-)

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Aaron_in_TX:

I don't really like CNN's "non-white" catch-all. It shows they support democrats by 66%, but that doesn't tell us much.

The rough average of Obama's "non-white" support in 2008 would have been somewhere between 70-80%, probably in the upper 70s.

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Aaron_in_TX:

The white support remains @ 40%, exactly where I'd expect it to be (actually slightly better). There's an immense gender gap in this poll, more pronounced than usual.

If republicans can't pull him down to total 35-37% among whites, they aren't going to beat him in 2012.

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Field Marshal:

Aaron,

Check out gallups breakdown of the non-white approval of Obama. They had Hispanic approval of Obama below 50% last week.

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Aaron_in_TX:

"They had Hispanic approval of Obama below 50% last week."

I know conservatives are frothing at the mouth about that, but most polls show it in the mid-high 50s, which would be a drop of about 10-12 points. Blacks have fallen from 94% to the low to mid 80s as well.

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StatyPolly:

"I know conservatives are frothing at the mouth about that"

Why wouldn't we? SCUMMY Dems tried the old reliable race card, since most everything else aint working, and even that has not been a slam dunk. Maybe backfiring even.

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melvin:

The only Republican in history to get over 40 percent of the latino vote was Bush..right now latinos dont even wants to hear the word Republican..The GOP is hated with a passion in the Hispanic Com.

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