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US: National Survey (DemCorps 2/20-24)

Topics: poll

Democracy Corps* (D) / Third Way** (D)
2/20-24/10; 1,001 2008 voters
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(DemCorps release)

*Democracy Corps is a non-profit organization founded by Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg and Democratic consultant James Carville.
**Third Way describes itself as a "moderate think-tank of the progressive movement."

National

State of the Country
32% Right Direction, 60% Wrong Track (chart)

Obama Job Approval
49% Approve, 46% Disapprove ()chart
Economy: 45 / 54 (chart)
Foreign Policy: 54 / 40 (chart)
National Security: 58 / 39

Favorable / Unfavorable
Republican Party: 31 / 46
Democratic Party: 35 / 47
Barack Obama: 48 / 42 (chart)

2010 Congress: National Ballot
46% Democrat, 44% Republican
Among likely voters: 47% Republican, 44% Democrat (chart)

Do you approve or disapprove of the job _____ in Congress are doing on national
security?

Dems in Congress: 43 / 49
Reps in Congress: 45 / 44

Generally speaking, do you feel America is more safe or less safe from foreign threats and dangers than two years ago?
41% More, 43% Less

And would you say the United States is more respected or less respected in the world than
it was two years ago?

42% More, 50% Less

As you may know, President Obama recently said he will
work with Congress and the military to repeal the 'don't ask, don't tell' policy, which prohibits gay and lesbian people from disclosing their sexual orientation while serving in the armed forces. Based on what you know, do you approve or disapprove of repealing the 'don't ask, don't tell' policy?

50% Approve, 38% Disapprove

Party ID
38% Democrat, 31% Republican, 29% independent (chart)

 

Comments
Field Marshal:

I like how they reported both registered and likely on the generic ballot. Gives an interesting perspective.

The favorabilities for both parties are tightening quickly.

As Barry Goldwater said about DADT, "a guy doesn't need to be straight to be in the army, he just needs to shoot straight."

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Stillow:

A-men Mr. Goldwater!

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Farleftandproud:

If the GOP takes back the house or comes close in 2010, it won't be because they won with new and orgiginal ideas. It will be because the faithful Democratic leaners will be hopeless. The GOP has made up their mind to kill this reform for political reasons. From Scott Brown and Olympia Snowe, to Sen. Inhofe and Jim Bunning, they are all going to not go along with existing health reform. It is in the Democrats hands. Passing health reform will be a victory, which may not be percieved as popular in the beginning, but it will show they stood on principle.

Democrats in many predominately white, battleground districts will only win if their base turns out. They may lose some independents by moving too far to the left, but they will lose a lot more by voting with the GOP on historic legislation.

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Field Marshal:

"If the GOP takes back the house or comes close in 2010, it won't be because they won with new and orgiginal [sic] ideas."

This is always the case with the minority party except in 1994. Think back to 2006 and what the Dems ran on. Basically, it was not being a republican. Today, the shoes are reversed.

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Xenobion:

Wonder when Goldwater went from insanity of wanting to allow field ops the authority to condcut precision nuclear strikes in Vietnam to this. Hawks go soft after awhile I guess.

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Farleftandproud:

I think it is when the base loses hope and gets frustrated that they start losing interest in voting or making calls for candidates. Passing health care reform is something that 30 percent of the electorate who votes or leans Democratic wants. I believe that these polls are showing the Democrats may not do so well is that there will be fewer Democratic leaners who will be excited to vote. if the Democrats get health care passed, I predict that even Rasmussen will show a declining GOP lead. I seriously know my own party so much better than I did two years ago. It makes me realize that you can't just assume because someone is a Democrat they are going to serve the people who elected them.

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Stillow:

HCR passage exited the liberal base indeed. Unfortuantely for Dems there aren't very many liberals i nthe country. And its passage also exicted the indy's and the right by making them angry. And angry voters are more likely to vote.

But at this point I want Dems to pass the senate version in the House....because everyone knows reconciliation was a joke fro mthe beginning and it won't happen...Obamacare is basically the senate version...and that is what will be law....and that bill is hated by the right and the left. The GOp would win both houses this fall...and the WH in 2012 and it woudl be repealed tthe second day of President Romney's administration in 2012.

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Bigmike:

"Democrats in many predominately white, battleground districts will only win if their base turns out. They may lose some independents by moving too far to the left, but they will lose a lot more by voting with the GOP on historic legislation."

I just saw a Blanche Lincoln commercial about an hour ago. She is crowing about voting AGAINST bank bail outs, cap and trade, and the public option. She is running from the Libs as fast as her little blue dog legs will carry her.

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Bigmike:

You can watch the Blanche commercial on lots of sites, including WAPO. Don't take my word, watch for yourself. Fellow conservatives, it is a real belly laugh!

The BO job approval in not really relevant except in a very general sense. We don't do popular vote, so fifty different job approvals matter. What matters is how is he doing in OH, VA, CO, and other states he won but are not deep blue.

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LordMike:

"I just saw a Blanche Lincoln commercial about an hour ago. She is crowing about voting AGAINST bank bail outs, cap and trade, and the public option. She is running from the Libs as fast as her little blue dog legs will carry her."

And it's doing wonders for her polling... oh, wait, it's not... her poll numbers get worse and worse the farther right she goes... Seems that being a coward doesn't fare well with the public.

BTW, the bank bailouts were all on Bush and the GOP, don't try to pass the buck on that one! Bush wanted it, McCain voted for it, and they both got it!

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williame123:

Stillow

"The GOp would win both houses this fall...and the WH in 2012 and it woudl be repealed tthe second day of President Romney's administration in 2012."

LOL. 2010 to 2014 are going to be very miserable years for you.

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williame123:

Bigmike

"I just saw a Blanche Lincoln commercial about an hour ago. She is crowing about voting AGAINST bank bail outs, cap and trade, and the public option. She is running from the Libs as fast as her little blue dog legs will carry her."

I don't know why this is news. Arkansas is a deep red State and Obama lost it by a wide margin in '08. This sort of thing happens in both parties all the time. Gene Taylor ran against Obama in 'O8 despite the fact that Obama was on his way to winning the presidency.

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Field Marshal:

The Dem party has moved so far left that there is no room for blue dogs anymore. Even some moderates like Massa in NY are being pushed out by the radicals currently in charge. Its going to be a hard fall tihs Nov for the Dems and probably again in 2012. People are starting to realize just what a colossal failure this administration has been over the last 15 months.

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GARY WAGNER:

Actually, over 80% of the country wants healthcare reform. The problem is that the democrats knew that and threw everything they could think of, including the kitchen sink, and used phony accounting gimmicks to cover the costs. Now they are selling it as the one and only chance to ever to fix healthcare in this country. People are angry because they know better. They know that intentions no longer matter - that this bill and the process that got it here is horrendous and there is no way to make it work without throwing it away and starting over.

The democrats are playing Texas hold-em and are all-in. They have no choice but to play their hand even though they know they are bluffing. They are going to lose big in November one way or the other. They are in the process of deciding whether they will be worse off for cramming the bill down the throats of voters who obviously don't want it or to back off and pretend they never tried to cram it down us.

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Bigmike:

"Arkansas is a deep red State"

Maybe you don't know about the Democrats who are Gov, Lt Gov, both US Senators, and 3 of the states 4 members in the House.

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williame123:

Bigmike:

"Maybe you don't know about the Democrats who are Gov, Lt Gov, both US Senators, and 3 of the states 4 members in the House."

...and maybe you don't know about the Republicans who dominated the governship in Massachusetts from 1991-2007 despite the fact that democrats won it handily in every presidential election in those years. Perhaps you did not realize that Pataki ruled deep blue NY for 12 years or that deep blue Connecticut and Vermont have Republican Governors.

As Tip O'neill used to say, "all politics is local."

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Farleftandproud:

I still sort of consider the Southern Democrats a third party, because they seem to really care less about how they do things in NY, CA, WA, NJ or Mass. They sort of have a certain level of populism about them, and a more conservative and traditional way of dealing with government projects from Washington.

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Farleftandproud:

Both Romney while being Governor and my Governor is is about the most liberal republican to major office today, Jim Douglas of VT, is they both let the people speak. They allowed some new affordable health care programs and didn't try to fight it.

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Farleftandproud:

No Field Marshall, Massa isn't getting thrown out because he was a no vote, he resigned on his own accord. First he says he is dying of cancer and than it turns out he made unwanted advances to a male staffer. Massa is a sick man. He is delusional just like Blogvogovich and Larry Craig. It is hard to believe that the people in this district just a couple of hours drive from me, should have learned more about Massa.

If Democrats wanted to throw out every anti-health reform Democrat we would have thrown all 39 of them out and than we would have enough votes to get it passed.

I sort of wish that all the Democrats opposed to health care, just don't show up for the final vote. As that song by the band Rush goes, "if you choose not to decide you still have made a choice".

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