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US: National Survey (Economist 3/27-30)

Topics: poll

Economist / YouGov
3/27-30/10; 1,000 adults, 3.3% margin of error
Mode: Internet
(Economist release)

National

Obama Job Approval
46% Approve, 47% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 86 / 11 (chart)
Reps: 5 / 95 (chart)
Inds: 42 / 53 (chart)
Economy: 40 / 52 (chart)
Health care: 44 / 48 (chart)

Congressional Job Approval
15% Approve, 61% Disapprove (chart)

2010 Congress: Generic Ballot (chart)
Registered voters: 47% Democrat, 44% Republican
All respondents: 44% Democrat, 39% Republican

State of the Country
34% Right Direction, 52% Wrong Track (chart)

 

Comments
Uchenna Oguekwe:

Most polls still show Dems as slight favorites. If anyone says at this point in time that they know how this year's elections are going to turn out, they are lying. With the election 7 months away, 7 months is like a year in politics. Anything can and usually does happen.

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Scott:

Does the word "most" in your world mean less than a third of the total polls?

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Scott:

Does the word "most" in your world mean less than a third of the total polls?

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Aaron_in_TX:

Turnout will be very important. Dems were certain to lose big had they capitulated on health care. At least a few of their core supporters will be more energized now that it's passed, which may help stem their losses. The republicans were fired up just because they pressed the issue, so they were going to have good turnout regardless.

Average loss in the house for the president's party in a midterm since 1946 is -24.

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