Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

US: National Survey (Economist 4/17-21)

Topics: polls

Economist / YouGov
4/17-21/10; 1,000 adults, 3.5% margin of error
695 registered voters (all questions asked of all adults unless otherwise noted)
Mode: Internet
(Economist release)

National

Obama Job Approval
46% Approve, 48% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 79 / 18 (chart)
Reps: 9 / 89 (chart)
Inds: 38 / 57 (chart)
Economy: 37 / 51 (chart)
Health Care: 40 / 50 (chart)

Congressional Job Approval
15% Approve, 61% Disapprove (chart)

2010 Congress: Generic Ballot
Registered voters: 46% Democrat, 42% Republican (chart)
Adults: 44% Democrat, 38% Republican

State of the Country
31% Right direction, 56% Wrong track (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Democratic Party: 40 / 46
Republican Party: 34 / 50
Tea Party Movement: 36 / 38

 

Comments
iVote:

Dems +4 on generic ballot?

Very interesting....

____________________

hoosier_gary:

This is the second poll in the past couple of thats that shows the democrats favorables dropping and sitting below the republicans now. In fact, the tea party has higher favorables than the democrats in this poll.

It is interesting to see that this poll shows the democrats over the republicans in the generic ballot which puts it quite a bit out of sync with recent averages.

Ah - never mind. I didn't notice until now this was a YouGov poll. The only things consistent with YouGov polls is that they are alway inconsistent.

____________________

hoosier_gary:

Never mind - I must have been looking at the wrong data. Or, did this data just change while I was writing that first comment?

____________________

williame123:

@hoosier_gary

"This is the second poll in the past couple of thats that shows the democrats favorables dropping and sitting below the republicans now. In fact, the tea party has higher favorables than the democrats in this poll."

Is your vision okay?

____________________

hoosier_gary:

Nope - I don't know what I was looking at but I don't think it was these numbers. I wouldn't have even bothered if I had noticed it was YouGov. They had the democrats up by 10 points just a month ago. Their polls are usually pretty bad.

____________________

tjampel:

The generic ballot numbers use registered voters, whereas Ras and some others use likely voters. Republicans are more likely to vote than Dems; thus part of the discrepancy is explained that way.

If you survey all adults you will almost always get a more pre-Dem result; registered voters seems to be pretty even; likely voters shows Repubs up by an avg of 4-5 points of late.

Having said that, this survey shows a slightly more Democratic-leaning electorate than some others.

____________________

iVote:

@hoosier_gary

Wrong.

That was more like two months ago. A month ago, they actually had the Republicans up by 1. Since then, they've had the Dems up somewhere between 3-5. This poll is in line with those numbers.

____________________

StatyPolly:

"• Unsurprisingly, only 28% of the public would cut spending on space-exploration programmes. Most Americans favour going to Mars (57%), returning to the moon (50%), and continuing the space-shuttle programme (61%). In each case, Republicans are more supportive of space exploration than Democrats.

• Two out of three Americans have heard something about Barack Obama’s plans to change the direction of the space programme, and those who know about it don’t like it. Just 31% of them approve of his plans, 42% disapprove."

Gutting space exploration is one of the most appalling policy initiatives BOBO has instituted to date, IMO. NASA requested just one additional meager billion to keep the new generation craft development going.

Now, they're tasked with researching non-existent human caused warming and designing really cool hope posters.

Why is this neanderthal hick so set against science?

____________________

Shannon,Dallas,Texas:

This is where America is. I think that this poll accurately reflects what's happening in the country.

You can throw out Obama's 365 to 173 electoral vote landslide victory over McCain and his 70% approval rating which was bolstered by a largely unpopular two term President. What should be considered is that he only won the popular vote 52.9% to 45.7%.

In such a partisan environment, that means that 46% of the population did not approve of this President to begin with. Maybe, 6% of his base does not support his handling of HCR (those who favor a public option), DADT, environmental reforms (lifting the bans on nuclear energy and offshore drilling, and an inability to get cap and trade done).

Most if not all of those supporters will not vote for the opposition. The question is will they stay home. I doubt it. Typically, these have been the most enthusiastic groups. They're not going to vote for the opposition, and it doesn't matter how the opposition is branded (Tea Party or Republican).

With the right Supreme Court nominee, some of these people will come around. Also, as the economy improves, he may be able to draw the support of 2-5% of those who currently disapprove.

____________________

StatyPolly:

How about this one:

http://www.gallup.com/poll/127499/Party-Affiliation-Gap-U.S.-Narrowest-2005.aspx

This is party ID, not generic vote.

Nice large sample too, over 4K.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR