US: National Survey (FOX-6/9-10)
Eric Dienstfrey | June 11, 2009
FOX News / Opinion Dynamics
6/9-10/09; 900 registered voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
National
Obama Job Approval
62% Approve, 31% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 88 / 8 (chart)
inds: 66 / 26 (chart)
Reps: 28 / 62 (chart)
Favorable / Unfavorable
Obama: 64 / 30 (chart)
Cheney: 34 / 57
Pelosi: 29 / 47
State of the Country
Economy: 40% Getting Better, 42% Worse (chart)
Party ID
40% Democrat, 33% Republican, 23% independent (chart)
By Eric Dienstfrey | June 11, 2009 3:20 PM | Permalink | Comments (9) | TrackBacks (0)
Comments
Things get very interesting when you look back at Fox's prior poll, especially in party ID. Not only was there a +6 point swing among Republicans opinion of President Obama's approval, but he has gained a much more significant 13 point swing in approval among Independents.
FOX News / Opinion Dynamics - 6/9-10/2009 (5/12-13/2009 in paranthesis):
Favorable: 62 (60)
Unfavorable: 31 (30)
Change: +2 Favorable, +1 Unfavorable = +1 swing
Among Republicans (5/12-13/2009 in paranthesis):
Favorable: 28 (23)
Unfavorable: 62 (63)
Change: +5 Favorable, -1 Unfavorable = +6 swing
Among Independents (5/12-13/2009 in paranthesis):
Favorable: 66 (57)
Unfavorable: 26 (30)
Change: +9 Favorable, -4 Unfavorable = +13 swing
Things get very interesting when you look back at Fox's prior poll, especially in party ID. Not only was there a +6 point swing among Republicans opinion of President Obama's approval, but he has gained a much more significant 13 point swing in approval among Independents.
FOX News / Opinion Dynamics - 6/9-10/2009 (5/12-13/2009 in parenthesis):
Favorable: 62 (60)
Unfavorable: 31 (30)
Change: +2 Favorable, +1 Unfavorable = +1 swing
Among Republicans (5/12-13/2009 in parenthesis):
Favorable: 28 (23)
Unfavorable: 62 (63)
Change: +5 Favorable, -1 Unfavorable = +6 swing
Among Independents (5/12-13/2009 in parenthesis):
Favorable: 66 (57)
Unfavorable: 26 (30)
Change: +9 Favorable, -4 Unfavorable = +13 swing
Sorry for the double-post. Was trying to correct a spelling error and must have posted twice.
Anyways, two other interesting things to point out. President Obama's approval increased slightly over the last poll despite the fact that the party ID decreased from Dem +12 (42/30) to Dem +7 (40/33).
Also, and definitely more significant given the note above, is that approval for whether or not the Stimulus package is working has INCREASED, going from -6 points (38/44) to +7 (46/39), or a 13 point swing. A complete reversal.
The Republican message of "No, No, No!!!" is certainly working wonders ain't it? ;)
@RussTC3
I'm beginning to wonder if the right wing is living in a parallel universe. Their whining keeps getting louder and louder, and they keep claiming that more and more people every day are getting angry at Obama and the Democrats, yet it never shows up in the polling. Even Rasmussen had Obama at his highest job approval since the inauguration just 2 or 3 days ago.
The stimulus was their latest gambit. They made a full court press on Monday and Tuesday to attack the plan and claim that it wasn't working, and this poll shows that the public wasn't buying it.
What is happening here is that the right is pushing itself farther and farther from the rest of the country, and I think it's one of the reasons we're seeing violence lately.
Does the left just send large shipment sof koolaid to you guys or what? This is one poll, if had different numbers you'd all be saying there goes Fox again, screaming outlier, outlier.
There's no uestions the stimulus has not worked, I'm sorry but haven't we lost hundreds of thousands of jobs since Obama took office? Didn't he tell stand there and tell us if we pass this unemployment will not go above 8? Now its 9.4 and rising. He just claimed he save 150,000 jobs...annnnnd how do you prove that? I just created 200,000 jobs, I cannot prove it, but just trust me on this one guys.
All the spending is already putting upward pressure on interest rates, they are now flirting with 6 percent and will continue to rise since no one in g'ment can seem to stop spending money we don't have. If hte GOP wants to attract fiscally responsible people back to the party like myself, they better say no to all this spending. Obama has run up a recrd 1.8 trillion dollar deficit and for what? To watch undreds of thousands of people lose their jobs, to see rates rise which will help keep housing market down? Oil is back o nthe rise...oh yeah and those auto bailouts Bush and Obama told us we just had to do, those worked out real well didn't they...no big deal, its just billions of tax dollars wasted. Bush and Obama are dumb and dumber. Almost all of Obama's plicy poll below 50 in approval...when his honeymoon ends, his personal approval will match his policy apporval.
Politicans, geeeez...you guys kill me...Enjoy the honeymoon period and the cherry koolaid while it lasts....since Obama's fiscal policies are no different than Bush's, his approval will come down. Dawn eventually comes.
Wow, I just saved anohter 200,000 jobs, I can't prove it, but I did.........sheeesh, you guys are such suckers!
@Stillow:
Fox news has been consistently showing the same job approval numbers that everyone else has, so I wouldn't be saying that it was an outlier. Please don't presume to speak for the left when you have no idea what we would say. All you can be sure of is what you think we would say.
The stimulus has barely gotten off the ground, and the vast majority of the money has yet to be spent. To call it a failure now is just as ridiculous as when the left was calling the surge a failure before all the troops were in place.
You are once again letting your ideological viewpoint influence your analysis of the poll numbers. The polling shows that the public clearly believes that it's too early to declare anything a failure, and the only demographic group that has a majority of people in it who are ready to do so are Republicans on the far right.
FYI, Obama didn't run up a 1.8 trillion dollar deficit. It was 1.3 trillion when he took over in January, and it will have increased to 1.8 trillion by the end of this year. The fact that you are willing to blame Obama for the entire amount when there is ample evidence to the contrary gives a clear indication that the only person drinking kool-aid is you.
Maybe the reason for the swing in opinion among R's is that there are so many more of them. This same poll shows a swing in R party ID of +3 and D party ID of -2, in just a month. Why at that rate, the R's will be in front by August.
Kidding aside, it is easy to look at poll numbers you like and try to read too much into them. I have been guilty of the same, I am sure. But things like party ID are NOT static, so looking at anything and breaking it down by party ID may not be telling you everything you think it is.
Right now, BO can still blame the bad stuff on W and take credit for any good stuff. It is still W's economy, deficits, war, base at Gitmo, etc.
BO is around 60% approval according to pretty much every poll out there. But every time he actually does something, his numbers will drop.
What has he done so far. Bailed out GM and Chrysler. Gee, that is just continuing down the road W started us down. He did appoint a judge, but I don't think anyone was surprised he wants to replace Souter with another lib.
At this point, those approval numbers mean nothing. I believe Carter had better numbers at this point, and we all know how that turned out.
Diageo/Hotline's recent poll shows the same trend.
Diageo/Hotline - 6/4-7/2009 (4/23-26/2009 in parenthesis):
Favorable: 65 (62)
Unfavorable: 31 (33)
Change: +3 Favorable, -2 Unfavorable = +5 swing
Among Republicans (4/23-26/2009 in parenthesis):
Favorable: 36 (31)
Unfavorable: 56 (66)
Change: +5 Favorable, -10 Unfavorable = +15 swing
Among Independents (4/23-26/2009 in parenthesis):
Favorable: 63 (58)
Unfavorable: 34 (37)
Change: +5 Favorable, -3 Unfavorable = +8 swing
That's a heck of an advantage on indies for Obama.
Besides that, nothing really new here.
Posted on June 11, 2009 3:39 PM