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US: National Survey (GWU 12/6-10)


George washington University / Tarrance Group (R) / Lake Research (D)
12/6-10/09; 1,000 likely voters
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Tarrance Group: release, analysis)

National

Obama Job Approval
50% Approve, 45% Disapprove (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 57 / 40 (chart)
Reps in Congress: 41 / 46
Dems in Congress: 42 / 49
Nancy Pelosi: 30 / 53
Harry Reid: 19 / 37
Sarah Palin: 45 / 46 (chart)

State of the Country
34% Right Direction, 57% Wrong Track (chart)

2010 House: Generic Ballot
42% Republican, 41% Democrat (chart)

Congressional Job Approval
24% Approve, 68% Disapprove (chart)

Do you prefer to have:
41% Divided government where Congress is controlled by one party and the White House is controlled by a different political party
38% Unified government where Congress and the White House are controlled by the same political party?

Which of the following statements best describes your views on health care...
5% No change is needed
29% Only minor changes are needed for the current health care system
49% Major changes are needed for the current health care system
14% Our current health system needs to be replaced with a new system

Based on what you have seen, read, and heard, do you think that the country would benefit from these health care reforms if they are enacted?
49% Yes, 44% No

Based on what you have seen, read, and heard, do you think that you and your family would benefit from these health care reforms if they are enacted?
40% Yes, 52% No

As you may have heard, Congress recently passed a law that creates a market for businesses to buy and sell energy usage credits. Some have called this law, "cap and trade" while others have called this law the energy and climate bill. Based on what you know about this law, would you say that you favor or oppose this law?
22% Favor, 40% Oppose

Sample A: Please tell me if you agree or disagree with this statement: The economic stimulus legislation passed by Congress is working.
34% Agree, 62% Disagree

Sample B: Please tell me if you agree or disagree with this statement: President Obama's economic stimulus legislation is working.
40% Agree, 54% Disagree

Party ID
36% Democrat, 27% Republican, 37% independent (chart)

 

Comments
CUWriter:

I'll be honest, I have no idea what to make of this poll. On the one hand, it has Obama approval at 50/45. On the other, it has GOP favorable/unfavorable margin higher than the Dems and much higher than any other poll out there, along with the 1 point congressional ballot advantage for Republicans.

This one is all over the map.

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Field Marshal:

A plurality thinks that the health reform will help people but a larger plurality says it will not help them.

Interesting when you word the cap and trade question this way, it fails significantly. But in the poll yesterday, it was the reverse.

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Bigmike:

It is also interesting that cap and trade gets better numbers when it is Obama's plan than it gets when it is Congress's plan. BO's favorables are way ahead of anyone elses. Not that his are anything great, but he is ahead of the pack.

FYI, misery index is up 1.8% in Nov.

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Bigmike:

I read thru too quick. Lunch on the mind. The STIMULUS scores better when it is Obama's plan.

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