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US: National Survey (Pew 10/28-11/8)


Pew Research Center
10/28-11/8/09; 2,000 adults, 3% margin of error
1,644 registered voters, 3% margin of error
564 Republicans, 5% margin of error
657 Democrats, 5% margin of error
623 independents, 5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Pew release)

National

Obama Job Approval
51% Approve, 36% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 79 / 12 (chart)
Reps: 22 / 66 (chart )
Inds: 45 / 39 (chart)
Economy: 42 / 52 (chart)
Health Care: 43 / 47 (chart)
Foreign Policy: 44 / 38 (chart)

2010 House: Generic Ballot (among registered voters)
47% Democrat, 42% Republican (chart)

Would you like to see your representative in Congress be re-elected in the next congressional election, or not? (among registered voters)
52% Yes, 29% No

Regardless of how you feel about your own representative, would you like to see most members of Congress re-elected in next year's congressional election, or not? (among registered voters)
34% Yes, 53% No

As of right now, do you generally favor or generally oppose the health care proposals being discussed in Congress?
38% Favor, 47% Oppose (chart)

Over the next year, do you think the number of troops in Afghanistan should be increased, decreased, or kept the same as it is now?
32% Increased, 40% Decreased, 19% Kept the same

Party ID
35% Democrat, 27% Republican, 32% independent (chart)

 

Comments
Stillow:

34 percent approving of the health care reform bills in congress....yet you liberals are trying to push it on everyone.......amazing.

34 percent...........................

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metapostasy:

As always, opposition is a combination of those who see the bill as too far left and those who see it as too much of a compromise. And yet it is always read as one-sided opposition.

And Stillow, is it possible for you to formulate an argument without the phrase "you liberals"?

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Stillow:

metapostasy

What? is it conservatives trying to push the health reform on everyone? No. Is is the moderates? No. Is it Martians? No. Is it boy scouts? No. Is it liberals? Yes.

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metapostasy:

Are you seriously that obtuse?

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011121:

This poll suggests that the gallup poll that found republican winning the generic ballot by 4 was an outlier. This poll is in line with the other recent polls (looking at the chart we find the overall average has the dems up by 3 in the generic ballot, the poll has them up by 5).

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Xenobion:

Problem with a loaded question like that is you're not going to get everyone to agree to a provision. Somehow before the healthcare debate support for it was at 60%. I think people are just fed up with the debate and want it to just fail or pass by now. That's why you see a much higher support for healthcare behind Obama's numbers in handling it.

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LordMike:

The other issue is that in other polling where you see similar numbers, if the question is asked whether no reform should be implemented, a resounding supermajority says they want something to pass.

The debate is killing this 'cos so many people are fighting over this, and, I swear, no one in the country actually seems to have any idea what's actually in the bill. When I hear comparisons made to the VA, I want to scream 'cos this bill is so incredibly moderate (it WAS written by Chuck Grassley, you know). Nothing will change for 80% of people out there, except some more choice and lower bills as the uninsured start paying into the system. It's not "socialized" health care in any way, shape, or form... It barely fulfills a desperate need for a significant number of Americans 'cos it's too conservative.

Once the bill is passed, and people realize how tame it is, they will be wondering what was all the ado about nothing. That's what the GOP knows, which is why they are screaming so hard.

If the GOP REALLY felt that passing this would be bad for the Dems and Obama, they wouldn't put up a fuss at all... they might scream about it, but they certainly wouldn't try to stop it.

The fact they are fighting so hard tells you how potentially popular health reform will be. Maybe not in 3 months, but in three years? Oh, yes!

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Stillow:

Geeeez, ignorance is a dangerous thing and you have it in large supply.

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None of the pollsters seem to ask the right question on health care reform. Instead of asking, are you for it or against it, they should ask this question: "Do you prefer a for-profit health insurance company or a government agency to make the decisions on which procedures your physician has the right to do relating to your personal health?"

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