Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

US: National Survey (Pew/National Journal 7/29-8/1)

Topics: National , poll

Pew Research Center / National Journal
7/29-8/1/10; 1,003 adults, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Pew release, National Journal story)

National

Thinking about the elections for Congress this year, please tell me whether you would be more likely or less likely to vote for a candidate with each of the following characteristics, or whether it would make no difference in your vote either way.

If a candidate has a record of bringing government projects and money to your district:
53% More likely, 12% Less likely, 33% No difference

If a candidate is neither a Republican nor a Democrat:
15% More likely, 21% Less likely, 61% No difference

If Barack Obama campaigns on a candidate's behalf:
27% More likely, 285 Less likely, 43% No difference

If Sarah Palin campaigns on a candidate's behalf:
18% More likely, 38% Less likely, 42% No difference

If a candidate is a supporter of the Tea Party movement:
22% More likely, 31% Less likely, 41% No difference

Which ONE would you say should be the highest priority goal of US energy policy?
31% Reducing our dependence on imported energy sources
21% Keeping energy prices low
21% Protecting the environment from the effects of energy development and use
20% Creating jobs within the energy sector

For each, please tell me whether you favor or oppose including this in an energy bill.

Limits on carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gas emissions:
65% Favor, 28% Oppose

Incentives for increased development of nuclear power:
56% Favor, 36% Oppose

Expanded exploration and development of coal, oil and gas in the U.S.:
72% Favor, 23% Oppose

Requirements that utilities produce more energy from wind, solar or other renewable sources:
78% Favor, 17% Oppose

Stricter regulations on oil drilling:
69% Favor, 26% Oppose

Party ID
33% Democrat, 23% Republican, 33% independent (chart)

 

Comments
Field Marshal:

Terribly skewed party ID and the questions are dumb. Overall, a useless poll.

____________________

melvin:

What kind of poll is this? It just comes to show you that there are to many damm polls out there.What are they going to poll next?

____________________

Field Marshal:

Ick, I agree with melvin. I think i'm going to be sick...

____________________

AlanSnipes:

They are going to poll repondents reaction to each and every poll. This will have a moe of 4.5%

____________________

AlanSnipes:

They are going to poll repondents reaction to each and every poll. This will have a moe of 4.5%

____________________

rdw4potus:

When the party ID is the very last question in a poll that asks about support for the left and right, it's pretty common to get an unusually middled result (i.e. way more "independents" than expected).

So I don't think the ID is a problem, but I agree that this poll is worthless. Why ask about support 27 different ways and then not ask the generic ballot question?

____________________

RussTC3:

I'm trying to understand what the problem is here. ??

Although the Indy number might be a bit too high, the Dem +10 margin for an ADULTS sample is accurate. Actually, the Dem advantage among Adults is probably higher than that.

____________________

scottkj:

Newsweek poll is out with Obama at 41% approval. Wonder why Huffington, I'm sorry, pollster doesn't publish this right away :)

____________________

RussTC3:

1) It's USA/Gallup, not Newsweek. 2) I'm sure they'll get to it, chill out.

And 3) I'd like to see the internals before making a judgment on this poll, but one thing stands out: It's Gallup.

Inconsistency is their pattern. Don't forget this is the same polling unit that had McCain up by 10 points (when everyone else had Obama up or McCain up by low, low single digits) only to have McCain down by 7 in their next poll.

Averages folks, averages are the key. That + the elimination of automated (Rasmussen, PPP, etc.), internet (Zogby, YouGov, etc.) and daily polls (Gallup, Rasmussen) and you should be fine.

There's just far too much variation in Gallup's polling to take them seriously.

____________________

Shannon,Dallas,Texas:

@Field Marshal

Field Marshal writes, "I think i'm going to be sick."


Wait til November.

____________________

jack:

This poll is bad news for Republicans.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR