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US: National Survey (PPP 1/29-31)

Topics: poll

Public Policy Polling (D)
1/29-31/10; 584 registered voters, 4.1% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

National

Obama Job Approval
48% Approve, 49% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 83 / 13 (chart)
Reps: 8 / 88 (chart)
Inds: 48 / 48 (chart)

Do you support or oppose President Obama's health care plan, or do you not have an opinion?
36% Support, 51% Oppose (chart)

Generally speaking this fall will you vote Democratic or Republican for Congress?
43% Republican, 40% Democrat (chart)

If the Democrats don't pass their health care bill will you vote Democratic or Republican for Congress this fall?
43% Republican, 38% Democrat

If the Democrats pass their health care bill will you vote Democratic or Republican for Congress this fall?
45% Republican, 41% Democrat

 

Comments
CUWriter:

Man I love Tom Jensen. Just shattering the liberal conventional wisdom that the Dems are better off passing HCR than not passing it. Now, I realize in his post on these results he says they "might as well do it" because it "does some good," but the Netroots has long contended that passing HCR would actually fire up the base and get indies to possibly see things their way.

So much for that. All passing HCR does would increase their base turnout marginally... and make even more indies and base conservatives turnout for the GOP. Nice.

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Xenobion:

I would look at it really at how HCR is not a game changer for anyone.

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Stillow:

HCR is a game cahnger and a big one...just ask Scott Brown who ran on being the vote that would kill HCR....and he not only won, won pretty easily, in the bleust state, in a seat held by Teddy Kennedy, who'se life long goal was g'ment run health care.....

Not a game changer? Ya right!

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Xenobion:

I've talked to all my MA friends Martha Lizardlips Coakley was a bad candidate. Brown exploited a weak candidate that insulted her state. Coakley put enough bullets in her foot with the whole Red Sox comment.

HCR is a moot issue is what this poll tells me. People are more worried about spending then they are on the specific issue of HCR. Its pretty obvious by the poll questions.

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Stillow:

X - Go to Home Depot and buy a shovel.....

Brown ran on one major issue, he said it everywhere he went, ran it on ads, etc....he ran as the vote that would stop HCR. You lefties can lie to yourselves or sugar coat whatever you want. You are in complete denial. HCR cost the Dems the MA seat....it was not a bad candidat eissue, it was HCR. Brown won virutally all GOP voters and won Indy's 3 to 1.....and it was all HCR related.

Again, buy a shovel to clean up the mess you just spread around with all that lying to yourself about wha thappened.

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bigfoot9p6:

The spread changes from Rep+5 to Rep+4 in the two questions. I don't known how that can shatter anything.

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polls_apart:

@Stillow: Candidates matter. The anti-health care reform tide certainly helped Brown to win this election. To use an extreme example, do you think he would have beaten Ted Kennedy? I doubt it. I don't think any other Democrat would do as well as Kennedy would have, but they could have done a lot better than Coakley. The negative feelings about health care would certainly make such an election closer than usual. In that case, I would expect you to mske the point that bluer-than-blue Massachusetts gave a narrow win to a Democrat (other than Coakley). And you'd be right.

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