Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

US: National Survey (Quinnipiac 6/23-29)


Quinnipiac
6/23-29/09; 3,063 registered voters, 1.8% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews

(source)

National

2010 House Generic Ballot
Democrat 42%, Republican 34% (chart)

Obama Job Approval
57% Approve, 33% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 90 / 5 (chart)
inds: 52 / 37 (chart)
Reps: 21 / 66 (chart)

Economy: 52% Approve, 42% Disapprove (chart)
Foreign Policy: 55% Approve, 35% Disapprove (chart)

State of the Country
39% Satisfied, 60% Dissatisfied (chart)
Economy: 8% Excellent/Good, 91% Not So Good/Poor (chart)
Economy: 27% Getting Better, 29% Getting Worse (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Obama: 58 / 30 (chart)
Democratic Party: 42 / 42
Republican Party: 25 / 52

 

Comments
Stillow:

That's the first national poll in a while showing obama above 50 with indy's...that is good for him, he won't be going anywhere if he keeps that # above 50.

____________________

conspiracy:

Interesting internals on the way people see the economy. In the end, in terms of 2010 and 2012 these are the only numbers that matter. Trending in the right direction, month on month. Jobs report today wasn't good and media suggests Repubs are having an easier time spinning the news there way. Maybe so but at least in this poll the public would rather Obama than Congressional Repubs handle the economy by a 54-35 margin.

____________________

conspiracy:

http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/balance_of_power/2009/07/bad-job-numbers-blame-bush-one.html

The most recent iteration of on this I can find is from NBC/WSJ:

Inherited by Obama 72
Obama responsible 14

And the deficit?

Bush administration 46
The Democrats in Congress 21
The Republicans in Congress 7
Obama administration 6

The Bush well isn't quite dry just yet. The president has time on his side and seemingly the American people are behind him but he will have to point to some kind of progress in less than eighteen months else there will be big trouble for Democrats.

____________________

Stillow:

@conspiracy

Your right, he does have time. When Reagan inherited the economy i nthe dumper they didn't balme him at first, but if I recall his polls slowly went down unti lthe turn around in 1983...Bush didn't really get blamed in 2001 when he inherited the recession from clinton...so obama does have a little time here...and can still milk blaming Bush for a while...but the logner this goes his #'s will come down. I guess it depends on when this thing eventually turns around and how strong the recovery is.

____________________

Stillow:

@conspiracy

Your right, he does have time. When Reagan inherited the economy i nthe dumper they didn't balme him at first, but if I recall his polls slowly went down unti lthe turn around in 1983...Bush didn't really get blamed in 2001 when he inherited the recession from clinton...so obama does have a little time here...and can still milk blaming Bush for a while...but the logner this goes his #'s will come down. I guess it depends on when this thing eventually turns around and how strong the recovery is.

____________________

conspiracy:

Agreed. I could even see a scenario where Dems get a bit of a thumping (not as bad as 1994)next year only for the economy to recover before 2012 and thus an easy re-election for Obama. Obviously there are other scenarios. Time will tell.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR