Daily Kos (D)/Research 2000
10/23-25, 08; 1,100 LV 3%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
Obama 51, McCain 40
Looks like it's all getting stable.
Posted on October 26, 2008 10:52 AM
Posted on October 26, 2008 11:05 AM
Each candidate holding his base, which is consistent with other polls. Difference in overall poll numbers is due to Independents, which in this poll has Obama +9. Women in this poll has been consistently around +18 Obama. This poll has men as even up. Even if McCain picks up say 2 points with men, or is there now, and Obama retains a comfortable lead with women, popular vote goes to Obama.
Then of course we have to look at the electoral college, state by state.
Posted on October 26, 2008 11:26 AM
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MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR