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US: Obama 51, McCain 44 (Gallup-10/26-28)

Topics: PHome

Gallup Poll
10/26-28/08
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

National

2,789 Registered Voters:
Obama 51, McCain 42

2,409 Likely Voters-Expanded:
Obama 51, McCain 44

2,435 Likely Voters-Traditional:
Obama 49, McCain 46

 

Comments
PJ_FFM:

At least ONE serious poll seems to be heading back into the right direction...

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Trosen:

tick.. tick.. tick..

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C.S.Strowbridge:

The narrowing of the national polls are not showing up in the state polls, yet. As long as that doesn't change, Obama is safe.

However, if you remember one thing...

A Always
B Be
C Closing

Always be closing.

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deeznutsrepubs:

Bad news for mccain.


Maybe he should tell cindy to give him some of her stolen painkillers.

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To Republicans:

This is just one more reason why your ticket scares me! I am a very educated, well-informed person with 3 University degrees (one in science). When you lose, please don't bring HER back in 2012...I am begging you.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/todd-palmer-and-rob-pringle/in-case-you-werent-scared_b_138089.html

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Atomique:

Wow. I can't believe it, but change is really coming.

Plus Obama is going to be the best-looking president on future money!

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Matthew6:33:

An interesting article from the Washington Post-- It could explain how tonight's "infomercial" is possible.


http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/10/28/AR2008102803413_pf.html

Obama Accepting Untraceable Donations
Contributions Reviewed After Deposits

By Matthew Mosk
Washington Post Staff Writer
Wednesday, October 29, 2008; A02

Sen. Barack Obama's presidential campaign is allowing donors to use largely untraceable prepaid credit cards that could potentially be used to evade limits on how much an individual is legally allowed to give or to mask a contributor's identity, campaign officials confirmed.

Faced with a huge influx of donations over the Internet, the campaign has also chosen not to use basic security measures to prevent potentially illegal or anonymous contributions from flowing into its accounts, aides acknowledged. Instead, the campaign is scrutinizing its books for improper donations after the money has been deposited.

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thorfinn:

Honestly, I think the McCain camp has gone paranoid. Prepaid phone cards, a "PLO" associate (who McCain funded less than 10 years ago)-living in the same city as Ayers...must be a plot, Palin hinting at Obama's communism. They've lost their damn minds. No way I want him near the nukes.

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Atomique:

Sorry Matthew, but Obama's support is coming from regular old Americans like me. Citizens of the United States who don't have tons of money to splurge but are willing to invest what little money we have in a candidate who will bring real change.

I'm proud to have helped make tonight's message from Obama possible. Don't be a crybaby just because your candidate chose to accept public donations because he knew he didn't have the popular support to fund his campaign without taking taxpayer dollars.

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Trosen:

GOTV is off the chain here in South FL. Potential volunteers are literally being turned away or being told "we'll get back to you.. we're pretty booked up right now." No kidding. The field office on North Beach was so packed today you could barely get inside.. Kick A$$!!

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Eternal:

Is this really McCain's closing argument?

Obama was at a dinner with a guy, McCain gave 500k?

Once again they are so freaked out about Obama's 30 minutes tonight they are only thinking tactical.

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Eternal:

@ Boom, Rasmussen's trust on taxes and economy have always been dubious at best if I remember. I think they only had Obama up by 1 or 2 in that anyway. Please correct me if I am wrong.

Here is the other thing.

If McCain leads on the economy and taxes, and Obama wins, does that mean the melt down is no longer an excuse?

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Matthew6:33:

@thorfinn and Atomique-

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/10/28/AR2008102803413_pf.html

Quoting further from the same article---

"The Obama team's disclosures came in response to questions from The Washington Post about the case of Mary T. Biskup, a retired insurance manager from Manchester, Mo., who turned up on Obama's FEC reports as having donated $174,800 to the campaign. Contributors are limited to giving $2,300 for the general election.

Biskup, who had scores of Obama contributions attributed to her, said in an interview that she never donated to the candidate. "That's an error," she said. Moreover, she added, her credit card was never billed for the donations, meaning someone appropriated her name and made the contributions with another card."

Sounds to me that there is a big screwup and definite lack of accountability by the Obama campaign in the financial realm. I am an accountant, I should know.

Who is overseeing that all this money gets refunded to these credit cards? Are we supposed to just trust the campaign to make sure it all gets refunded? Is this the guy we want with his hands on our tax dollars??

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NW Patrick:

Yawn. Another national poll released by HARRIS today. Obama up 6 and with 50%+ of the vote. See new chat thread for more info.

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mirrorball:

Look we can do the suspicious donor thing for days:

http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/chi-donorsoct29,0,1269595.story

Campaign donor's giving raises questions
Little known about man who has sent thousands to GOP

By Andrew Zajac, Ray Gibson and Bob Secter | Tribune reporters
October 29, 2008

Big campaign donors typically come with deep pockets and influence. But in Illinois this election cycle, no one not running for office himself has given more to the nation's federal campaigns than Shi Sheng Hao of Roselle, a virtual unknown in business and political circles.

Before September 2007, Hao's name had never appeared in the 15-year-old federal database of campaign contributors. Since then, however, his donations have topped $120,000 — including $70,100 on a single June day to Republican presidential candidate John McCain.

Over the same time frame, a network of Hao relatives has kicked in more. The take from this group over the last 13 months exceeds $269,000, a small amount to Democrats but most of it to McCain and the Republican National Committee, records show.

Hao didn't register to vote at the northwest suburban address attached to his donations until October 2007, a month after he wrote his first political check, $25,000 to the RNC.

The circumstances surrounding Hao's sudden and prolific political activism are curious and his whereabouts unclear. His name isn't listed on property records or the mailbox at the unassuming tract home listed on his donations. Hao lives "overseas," insisted a man who answered the door at the Roselle home recently. The man declined to identify himself.

The story of Hao—whose varied roster of business associates appears to include a Taiwanese government investment arm as well as the mastermind of a decade-old Democratic fundraising scandal — is an eyebrow-raiser in the current election climate.

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colorado resident:

Yes it is exactly the guy that I want handling my tax dollars1

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RossPhx:

Mississippi turned pink? What is the world coming to?

Gallup's "expanded" likely voters are fewer than its "traditional" likely voters. That's what it's coming to, I guess.

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laguna_b:

Crist Says Internal Polls Give McCain Lead in Florida
Florida Gov. Charlie Crist (R) said internal polls show Sen. John McCain ahead in his state, according to The Hill.

Said Crist: "I'm hearing some very encouraging numbers, you know, some polls reporting [McCain] three or four points up already in the Sunshine State."

So, what is the magic of "internal" polls? do tehy go inside peoples heads??? Why should internal polls be better than those done by people who make a living doing it??? Anyone have an idea?

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laguna_b:

If they had public polls to tout, they would. They don't have that, so they have to tout "internal" polls.

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GriffStep:

@Matthew6:33

Matthew6:33:
"I am an accountant, I should know."

An argument from authority is always a good reason for skepticism. Your position becomes stronger after you delete this sentence.

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oicu:

Don't ever believe anything any political campaign tells you about internal polling unless it is really really well backed up with documentation. And even then be suspicious.

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mirrorball:

It's funny Crist would say that because some GOP folks were quoted today as saying he basically gave the state to Obama by extending early voting. Maybe he's just trying to cover his butt.

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IdahoMulato:

This thing is over! It was worth standing in line for 2 hrs just to vote.

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Pazienza:

New Hampshire Democratic Primary

Final Results -- -- 36.4 39.0 Clinton +2.6

RCP Average -- 38.3 30.0 Obama +8.3

American Res. Group 40 31 Obama +9.0

Suffolk/WHDH 39 34 Obama +5.0

Rasmussen 37 30 Obama +7.0

ReutersC-Span/Zogby 42 29 Obama +13.0

CBS News 35 28 Obama +7.0

Marist 36 28 Obama +8.0

CNN/WMUR/UNH 39 30 Obama +9.0

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nh/new_hampshire_democratic_primary-194.html


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ThisLandIsMyLand:

the only time internal polls are helpful is when the major polling firms aren't regularly conducting polling (for example, in the primaries). In those cases the candidates' polls can be more up to date and accurate. For Christ to claim that McCain has some secret poll that shows him up by several points is complete malarky. If McCain had such a poll, he would release it as it would help create a perception of momentum for him in the state. It's absolute B.S.! They probably are trying to steal the election in FL and are using these phony internal polls to justify it.

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cinnamonape:

Matthew6:33: I have a question? Why would a campaign attempt to "hide" an illegal contribution well above the legal limits by putting it right there on the public list of contributions that they reported. Maybe a typo...or someone putting down a weong digit on a credit card #?

The woman said that she wasn't billed, after all?

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