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US: Obama 51, McCain 44 (Rasmussen 9/29-10/01)

Topics: PHome

Rasmussen
09/29-10/01,08; 3,000 LV 2%
Mode: IVR

National
Obama 51, McCain 44

 

Comments
Robi:

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/obama_gets_post_debate_boost_in_voter_trust_on_all_issues

This would help explain why Obama is doing well after the debate.

It's Rasmussen so I don't want to hear from the right-wingers that it's liberal media bias!

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rdw4potus:

...Waiting for Boom to tell me that Rasmussen is a liberal pollster and/or that this is an outlier...

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carl29:

Oh, oh, oh :-) This is going to make some people mad, Sweet!!!

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Connor:

Scott Rasmussen: KNOWN COMMUNIST.

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glober:

Expect GA, TX and possibly MS to go light red by next week. WOW

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Trosen:

glober.. not a chance. They may flirt with yellow for a day or 2, but they ain't going blue. This, I think, is the biggest spread I've seen in a Ras poll for Obama. Unless the debate tonight swings people wildly, (I'd say we'd be able to gauge that by next Tuesday or Wednesday) it's utter panic time for the McCain camp.

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JCK:

Looking BAD for McCain.

Are we still on schedule for a tied race by Sunday?

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mac_1103:

Boomshak's liberal pollster conspiracy theory would actually make more sense as a conservative conspiracy -- inflate Obama's numbers going into tonight's debate, then promptly switch back to "real" polling to create the impression that Palin's performance swayed public opinion.

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KipTin:

From a link on RCP, this seems to be the latest story that may hurt Obama if the MSM reports it:

"Secret, Foreign Money Floods Into Obama Campaign"
http://www.newsmax.com/timmerman/Obama_fundraising_illegal/2008/09/29/135718.html?CFID=1772390&CFTOKEN=51134155

Only fair if Clinton and Gore had to deal with this issue, that Obama does too. And this also sounds a lot more serious.

Disclosure: I voted for Clinton, Gore, Kerry... ergo I am NOT a Republican nor am I a paid McCain troll.

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kerrchdavis:

Rasmussen also has Obama up by 3 in NC.

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zhimbo:

That Newsmax article is ridiculous: "More than half of the whopping $426.9 million Barack Obama has raised has come from small donors whose names the Obama campaign won't disclose. "

NO CAMPAIGN releases the names of donors who've given

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Hope Reborn:

@ KipTin:

LOL you tool! Ohh, I'm so scared of a couple of internet pranksters giving LESS all together than one fat cat to McCain's campaign who give $72k at a time.

In elections, Money = Influence. Mr. Will, Good will not be getting any influence anytime soon...

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zhimbo:

my comment got cut off above...continued below:

...less than $200. "Secret" donations my ass.

I love how the unprecendented support from small donors is being desperately spun into a liability. Riiigghht.

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thoughtful:

Well, I tried to ward Boomshak a couple of days ago.

His best poll is the Diageo/Hotline.

Gallup should certainly kneejerk today with an Obama uplift. WV is the only light red left, but Georgia and Texas maybe going that way!

There is a swathe of yellow about to turn blue.

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george:

@KipTin

Ken Timmerman is a wonderful source, indeed. Check out his 2004 article about how we really did discover all those WMDs in Iraq. (http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=38213)). For my own part, I'm skeptical about anything this ultra-right loudmouth says--unsuccessful fringe candidate for the Rep. nomination for Senate in 2000-- and my personal favorites --the author of EXPOSING THE REAL JESSE JACKSON (2002) and THE FRENCH CONSPIRACY AGAINST AMERICA (2004). Keep those freedom fries coming, Kip.....

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KipTin:

Uh... you guys missed the "foreign" donation part of the article, upon which my comment focused.

FYI: Maximum donation is $2300 per individual in each of primary and general for total of $4600. McCain could not have received $72K from any "fat cat." So quit making FALSE accusations.

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KipTin:

I see I pushed some buttons. BTW... it does not matter who the author of the article is when in fact there are real questions the donations.

FYI: McCain has released names of ALL donors. Even the less than $200. So the statement "NO CAMPAIGN releases the names of donors who've given less than $200" is a false claim.

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thoughtful:

@KipTin

We are fighting the election over the real issues and real differences in approach.

This is another crock of **** you are hawking.

Maybe we should charge Obama with Treason.

Shall we impress the American people with further GOP and McCain offerings?

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mac_1103:

I didn't miss the "foreign" part. I do notice that the article does a very good job of conflating two things -- Obama's total raised from undisclosed contributors, and contributions from overseas donors. I can personally assure you that at least $25 of the total came from a US donor.

The article also makes the sensationalistic claim that it is "staggering" that Obama has received so much money from contributors who never pass the $200 reporting threshold. Why should this come as a surprise? It strikes me as quite plausible that the majority of Obama supporters either can't afford or choose not to contribute more than $199. And why not report the percentage of McCain's contributors who gave less than $200 for comparison? I'm sure McCain also has online donors who chose not to use their real names on the forms -- where's the investigation of those?

I am disappointed to learn, however, that my $25 isn't going to buy me an ambassadorship. Might as well have used a fake name.

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DaylightDisc:

Not to worry, folks. When Kiptin and others start with this nonsense its the equivelant of the boxer on the ropes opening his eyes wider in a last show of defiance.
In the absence of any real evidence their candidate is not losing, they go for the shiny object distraction.

The more Obama gains, the more the denial and distractions and hail mary's come from MaGoo and his supporters.
They dont have anything and their ideas aren't resonating with change. Now the poll spinners are outside of the margin of error, they live in disbelief.

Time, states and debates are running out and MaGoo has to defned way to much territory.
Its over for Mr MaGoo...tick....tick...tick

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douglasfactors:

KipTin:

I see I pushed some buttons.

When you've been refuted, you say you've succeeded in "pushing buttons." That's a childish debate trick.

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KipTin:

Children debate? Since when? Not very good at analogies and metaphors, are you?

"I pushed some buttons" and got some heated responses. Very factual use of that so-called "trick."

Deny all you want. Both of the Clintons and Gore got taken to task by the MSM for "foreign" donations. So why not Obama? Fair question. Try answering it rather than ignoring the issue or attacking the messenger?

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Eternal:

Sure sign of desperation.

I love, it .

Kip could next provide links to Obama's Muslim school, lack of birth certificate and adoption to his Indonesian step father. While at it could you round up that "Whitey" tape.....

My point it's bad timing Kip, people are in no mood for distractions right now..you all should have dropped these about 4 weeks ago.

Missed opportunity :)

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Trosen:

Sorry Kip.. but I'll tell you where all those sub-$200 dontations come from, and they aren't from swarthy arabs or French commies in smoke-filled rooms. They are from people like me.. struggling, working class people with college degrees who are trying to stay afloat in Bush's economy. I donate $15, $20, $25 when I can, as do many of my friends, relatives, etc. Obama has created an excellent web-based system of collecting campaign contributions from regular borderline-poor working stiffs like me. Call us "shady" if you want.. but sorry to disappoint you.. we're anything but.

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cinnamonape:

"Uh... you guys missed the "foreign" donation part of the article, upon which my comment focused.

FYI: Maximum donation is $2300 per individual in each of primary and general for total of $4600. McCain could not have received $72K from any "fat cat." So quit making FALSE accusations."

Actually, with all the loopholes in the McCain-Feingold Act there are very easy ways that McCain could have received $72K from a "fatcat". It's done indirectly. First off, the $2300 is a quarterly contribution level. Second, McCain can carry over money for his Senate campaigns and PRIOR Presidential campaigns to this election (how many times has McCain run for President...something like 4 times). Then there are the Contributions made to the RNC that can be redistributed to McCain-Palin if they appear with Congressional or Senatorial candidates. The donor can give to a PAC, dozens of them, that can then bundle that money back to McCain or the RNC. Or they can give the money to a Congressional or Senatorial Campaign who can then contribute THAT money to McCain-Palin.

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