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US: Obama 51, McCain 45 (Rasmussen 9/28-30)

Topics: PHome

Rasmussen
09/28-30,08; 3,000 LV 2%
Mode: IVR

National
Obama 51, McCain 45

 

Comments
Napoleon Complex:

Boomshak is wrong again.

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JCK:

Is Boom still predicting a tied race by Sunday? Or this current line that Obama should have a bigger lead?

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kerrchdavis:

roflmao! I don't think Boomshak has EVER been right on a prediction. At this point, its more likely that McCain will be leading on Sunday instead of tied just because thats what boomshak predicted.

fail.

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PortlandRocks:

Boom was going off last night about McCain's comeback. He didn't care that ABC news changed the party affiliation to something like 18 percent to 7. LOL I'm feelin' pretty good. Those Quinipac surveys should leave McCain feeling desperate. Watch for the nasty ads. They're on the way.

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PortlandRocks:

On a previous post with the Quinipac results Boom says TIED by Monday. Quinipac? FAIL! ROFL

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kerrchdavis:

@Portland

Even if you were to change the party affiliations from 10% more democrats to 6% more in the Q polls, Obama has HUGE leads in all those states.

But, feel bad for Boom. It must be tough when everyone thinks you're a moron.

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[nemesis]:

"But Obama's only leading by 30% on Intrade... blah, blah, blah, real indicator, blah blah, putting real money on it, blah blah blah."

snicker

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Timdicator:

I don't agree with Boom on most things, either ... but you don't have to specifically taunt him everytime a new poll comes out.

That would make anyone combative.

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Viperlord:

People would be more friendly to him if he didn't spew lies and hate all over the place. Anyway, Obama ftw! Oh, and I found this. http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/topstories/*http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081001/ap_on_el_pr/campaign_battlegrounds

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kerrchdavis:

@timdicator

Your point noted, but you clearly have not been here long enough. Boomshak deserves to have his fingers removed for the amount of BS he spews on here on a daily basis.

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PortlandRocks:

From Quinnipac:

"It is difficult to find a modern competitive presidential race that has swung so dramatically, so quickly and so sharply this late in the campaign. In the last 20 days, Sen. Barack Obama has gone from seven points down to eight points up in Florida, while widening his leads to eight points in Ohio and 15 points in Pennsylvania," said Peter Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.


"Sen. John McCain has his work cut out for him if he is to win the presidency and there does not appear to be a role model for such a comeback in the last half century," Brown added.

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carl29:

Time is out with another poll showing Obama at 50%, ahead of McCain by 7%. White women are the reason, how about Sarah :-(?

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KipTin:

FYI... ABC did not change party ID affiliations. The change is a result of their polling methodology (true random vs. weighting).

I am not sure what methodology Quinnipiac uses because look at Florida. Undecided in parentheses...

9/27-29/08 836 LV McCain 43/Obama 51 (5)
9/22-26/08 1161 LV McCain 43/Obama 49 (7)
9/5-9/08 1032 LV McCain 50/Obama 43 (6)
8/17-24/08 1069 LV McCain 47/Obama 43 (8)

The undecideds have not changed that much, yet it shows a large swing to Obama. It looks like Quinnipiac is polling every week now. So it will be interesting to see the next 4 weeks of their poll.

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burrito:

@carl29

"Time is out with another poll showing Obama at 50%, ahead of McCain by 7% ..."

Do you have the link for this poll? Could you please post it?

Thanks

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ericsp28:

I don't think it is unreasonable to expect McCain to recover some in the polls by later this week/early next week. All Palin has to do is no completely fall apart at the debate on Thursday and it will be considered a victory for her, and that will help some. And if the House and Senate both pass the bailout bill this week that will probably help McCain some too.

Don't get me wrong, I love seeing Obama up in the polls, but ultimately I'm a realist. Obama has had 2 and a half really good weeks in the polls, but I think its unrealistic to expect him to maintain that kind of momentum through the rest of the campaign. The momentum will likely go back and forth at least one more time before Nov 4 if not more.

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Viperlord:

I think that it is likely Obama's momentum will fade, but I don't expect McCain to pick up any, certainly not from the VP debate. If Biden doesn't destroy Palin, then nothing will change.

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boomshak:

JUST AS I PREDICTED YESTERDAY:

Gallup Daily: Obama 48%, McCain 44%

Slightly closer race now than two days ago
October 1, 2008

The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update of registered voters finds Barack Obama at 48%, and John McCain at 44%, marking a slight narrowing of the race from the 8-point margin Obama held earlier this week.

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Robi:

Anyone who thinks that McCain will benefit from the VP debate is insane.

I am going to hold her to a standard where she can make a good point that isn't a talking point. In other words, she has to do it on the fly to show some knowledge.

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boomshak:

Lol, How can Gallup refer to a 4 point dump as a "slight narrowing"?

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marctx:

VP DEBATE MODERATOR RELEASING 'AGE OF OBAMA' BOOK

The "fool America" media campaign continues. Spin every story to favor Obama and then hire an Obama supporter to moderate the debate. Geez, ya know guys! Thanks but no thanks!

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boomshak:

@marctx:

Palin should begin by congratulating her on her new book.

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Scott W:

BOOM - do you REALLY think narrowing in one national poll for a day or two, when it does not agree with all the other polls.... is evidnece that Obama's lead is collapsing? Have you stopped looking at the state polls? They are a disaster for McCain! P.S. National popula vote does not count... I think you must have forgotten this, looking for some good news that supports your "fading hope".

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DaylightDisc:

I remember this whole thing from the Obama/Hillary primary. As it became more and more certain that Obama was going to win it, the more reaching and desperate the Hillary su-pporter spin would get. As the polls and votes came in each state, it was almost sad to see the denial set in.
And finally, enough evidence was afoot that it could no longer be spun, she was going to lose.

Her supporters, stung by the reality of inevtibale defeat began to get increasingly negative and vitriolic to the point there defense of the facts became...well ...indefensible.

I see the same thing going on with those here that come up wuth their reason d'jour for why the polls are wrong and MaGoo is really winning.

We have seen this movie before.....Obama supporters are starting to smell victory, just like we did back in June when the states and delegates available for Hillary to win dwindled until it was clear time and votes had run out.

It sure looks like the same thing going on for MaGoo. Tick...tock...tick...tock

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