Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

US: Obama 52, McCain 45 (Rasmussen 10/21-23)

Topics: PHome

Rasmussen
10/21-23,08; 3,000 LV 2%
Mode: IVR

National
Obama 52, McCain 45

 

Comments
C.S.Strowbridge:

It's almost good news that McCain didn't lose more ground to Obama. He's rapidly running out of time.

____________________

Kile Thomson:

10 days to go

____________________

Cho:

GWU: Obama 49-46 Mc

____________________

mrzookie:

Battleground: O 49 M 46 (M+1)
Sorry Boom, they only publish page 12 today.

____________________

boomshak:

This is typical for Rasmussen to reach a level then stay there for a couple day before heading back other way.

Rasmussen will have this a 2 point race by election day.

Obama is done.

____________________

OneAngryDwarf:

It is over. The McCain campaign staffers are starting to look for jobs and blame each other for a failed campaign.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1008/14891.html

Republican's are starting to eat their wounded and I expect that we'll start to see a lot more of "Sarah being Sarah" and getting her 2012 campaign jump started.

Election night is going to get ugly, early.

____________________

boomshack:

all you moonbats keep running away from a rational debate by jumping threads! Shame on you! Here is a post that I hope the poster will not RUN AWAY from by posting an honest response.

Dana Adini:

no the left are figures from this year's early voting showing Dems outnumber GOP 2-1 vs. 2004 on the right.

I am glad that at least SOMEBODY on this site is EXPOSING the faulty demographics some leftist pollsters are using this year to show that lead for Obama. If you LIBS need a 2:1 excess of DEMS to have your candidate ahead in single digits, this electron is in the BAG. LOL.

Like I said, at least someone on this site has the balls to compare this blatant discrepancy (or should I say FIX?) to the last cycle!

Good for you, Dana Adini! You are as good as you are good looking! I might even consider dating someone like you if you were a couple of years younger. Please post your age and contrast it with the 2004 number.

____________________

Stonecreek:

With Rasputin's very conservative LV screen, it makes the polls showing 10-12% advatage for Obama look like they may be pretty accurate.

I stood in line for an hour and a half to vote at an early voting location in Texas where early voting had never been held before. Even though in most years this would have been a leaning-Republican area, one certainly didn't get the sense that people were standing there all that time to vote for a guy who's "strong suppporters" are only 40% of all who intend to vote for him. Anecdotal tales by voters standing in the outdoors line indicate that those who gave up and walked off without voting appeared to be predominantly of the "McCain demographic".

____________________

Lucky Luke:

@Boom

Joking, right?

____________________

Vokoban:

>Battleground: O 49 M 46 (M+1)

That's the surge. The turning point. Everything will be good! Barack is TOAST!

M+10 by Sunday!

____________________

boskop:

beware the undecideds.
it's anyone's guess now but nev'theless makes for quite a good story.

____________________

Isher:

Lol, I love boomshak. I think he's why everyone comes here.

Keep your hope up Boom! Just have some hard liquor on hand for Nov. 5th, cause it ain't happening.

____________________

boomshak:

@mrzookie:

Battleground: O 49 M 46 (M+1)
Sorry Boom, they only publish page 12 today.

Yep, Page 1 shows the race O+1.

Obama is finished.

____________________

maddiekat:

This was the poll (NPR) that at one time was listed as the battleground poll on RCP when it showed McCain with a two point lead. It now shows Obama with an 11 point lead. I have been assuming that this was the GW Battleground Poll all this time because RCP never mentioned that they were dumping one battleground poll for another. We have been hoodwinked by RCP.

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=96048563

____________________

boomshack:

Lucky Luke:

@Boom

Joking, right?

No, I really want to know how old she is. I've made that age/gender mistake WAY too many times. One cannot be too careful these days.

____________________

Voltron Defender of the Universe:

Gotta love Battleground! not. I bet IBD will show Gramps ahed today just to bring down the RCP average which is right now at about O +7.4. The sooner we get to election day the better.

____________________

maddiekat:

This was the poll (NPR) that at one time was listed as the battleground poll on RCP when it showed McCain with a two point lead. It now shows Obama with an 11 point lead. I have been assuming that this was the GW Battleground Poll all this time because RCP never mentioned that they were dumping one battleground poll for another. We have been hoodwinked by RCP.

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=96048563

____________________

mac7396:

This poll is great news for McCain. While Obama is vacationing in Hawaii today, the tide will turn against him. McCain +72 by Nov 4th.

____________________

sunnymi:


Looking at the net favorability numbers on Rasmussen for the last 2 nights of polling if Obama has a similar night of polling today then I will not be surprised if he has Obama up to 53 in tomorrow's update.

____________________

mandalorianarmy:

Boom you have become delusional.

____________________

boomshak:

SHOCKING ANNOUNCEMENT - OBAMA HAS DROPPED OUT OF THE RACE!

"AP 10/24/08 - In a shocking turn of events, Barack Obama has withdrawn from the presidential race! It seems after arriving in Hawaii, he decided he would rather just surf instead. Developing..."

____________________

maddiekat:

Sorry for the double post

____________________

sunnymi:

@boomshak, you said "Rasmussen will have this a 2 point race by election day."

Didn't you know Obama wins even in that scenario :-)

____________________

boomshak:

Obama is about to have a bimbo eruption...

____________________

boomshack:

boskop:

beware the undecideds.
it's anyone's guess now but nev'theless makes for quite a good story.

That's a great point, boskop. Thanks! I bet the next story we see in the news is some poor victim with a huge U carved in his/her face. It's just sad how deep the Obama supporters will sink to sway the undecideds. Just sad.

____________________

adocarbog:

Great News for McCain in Georgia from Insider Advantage (georgia pollster)
Obama is up in Georgia but only by 1%
Obama 48%
McCain 47%

Although the pollster says that Obama has space to move up from this number not McCain
http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_1024_633.aspx

____________________

jlm9:

You know your desperate when....
McCain thinks he has more money left then Obama? Ok so the RNC may be $8million up on the DNC but Obama is the GDP of a small African nation up on McCain ($40 million at least). Obviously the same McCain strategist who come up with the plan that involved winning PA and giving up on other states did some more math to show McCain has a money advantage. uumm a Kidergartener knowns 40-8 = 32 million advantage Obama

____________________

boomshak:

@sunnymi:

@boomshak, you said "Rasmussen will have this a 2 point race by election day."

Didn't you know Obama wins even in that scenario :-)

--
No, Obama overpolls his turnout. McCain has this won. It's over. Obama will be most hated man in the Democrat Party.

The #1 story on Nov 5th will be "Why didn't we nominate Hillary??!!"

____________________

boomshak:

Great News for McCain in Georgia from Insider Advantage (georgia pollster)
Obama is up in Georgia but only by 1%

In case there was any doubt InsiderAdvantage had any credibility left, this has done it in.

____________________

sunnymi:


@boomshak, you are showing signs of losing it (you know what I mean :-))

I can understand your pain at not having your guy Mitt at the top of the ticket this year....better luck next time!

____________________

Northeastern Republican:

i try to be as impartial as possible when reviewing poll numbers. i feel like most people who post here do the exact opposite. is it because people cant be impartial when looking at some of these numbers or is it because people are just trying to root for whoever "their guy" is.

although i dont disagree that obama has a lead in this election, i think it is far to early to call it an obama blow out as so many of the more angry obama supporters here seem to project. theres still 12 days to go in this campaign - and remember what they say - a week is like a year in politics. literally anything can still happen - including an october suprise (let us not forget that there are still 4 law suits, at least 1 of which is in federal court, challenging obamas citizenship). i dont think anything will come from that but if the media finally does decide to discuss such an issue (bc lets be honest - even if it turns out to be a false claim, its more of an interesting issue than sarah palin's wardrobe) - undecideds could shift in a big way to mccain. and there are still a lot of undecideds out there, enough that they could make it a very close race in just a week. i think the obama campaign should be most concerned about undecideds based on the fact that in the primarys, undecideds went almost entirely for hillary - meaning many who wouldnt break for obama during the campaign wouldnt break for him at the votting both either.

i guess i just feel that although obama has a modest lead as of today, there is still a bit of campaigning left to do, potential october suprising that could happen, and to many undecideds hanging out there to call this as a huge obama blow out - at least at this stage of the game. if the poll numbers look promising in a week, then maybe start chilling the champaigne but if you are an obama supporter i suggest keeping your fingers crossed and let us not forget that g.w. bush was up by about 5 points this time 8 years ago and ended up losing the poopular vote and in the narrowest of terms winning the electoral college.

now feel free to go ahead and flame because i stated the obvious and didnt predict obama will win by a massive blow out popular vote margin that no presidential canddiate has seen in decades.

____________________

OneAngryDwarf:

Boompfotenhauer is just coming off the tracks like the rest of the Republican's right now. Ignore him.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1008/14891.html

The Republican party has lost its way and this election is just a symptom of their failures. They no longer know what they stand for and they are all running around pointing fingers at why this thing has finally come apart.

Just ask some simple questions and you'll see what is wrong with the party:

1. Where do they stand on the size of government? They claim that they are for small government and lower taxes but they keep backing things like the bailout and the Medicare Prescription Drug plan which has been a huge increase in government size and scope.

2. What are their financial policies? Everyone says that they are fiscally conservative, but if that is the case why has the national debt doubled in the last 8 years? Why do they keep cutting taxes while they borrow money to spend on foreign wars? Do they believe in deregulation or are they for regulation, I can't tell anymore since they seem to be for it when the economy is down and against it until everything fell apart.

3. What is their foreign policy position? I used to think that they were strict proponents of the "Bush Doctrine" and wouldn't negotiate with our enemies. That is what the McCain campaign is based on but then the current Republican President is doing the exact opposit and acting like a Democrat with his current foriegn policy decisions.

I could go on for hours about this but I think you get the point. Republican's don't seem to know who they are anymore and they can't remember what they represent.

Confusion leads to madness and they are now a long way down that path.

____________________

boomshack:

for all your moonbats, I will repeat:
any poll showing anything but a surging heat is BOGUS and SUSPECT and PARTISAN. Except for Georgia. What part of that can't you understand?
Sheesh. Some people, I swear....

____________________

cinnamonape:

"This is typical for Rasmussen to reach a level then stay there for a couple day before heading back other way."

Nope, sorry...the fact is that Rasmussen usually stays on one side and converges toward the actual, final outcome. It doesn't "overshoot and retreat". You must be thinking of some other poll.

____________________

slegend:

What you want from polls is to have your candidate at 48% to above 50%. With Obama coming in at 50-52% in key battleground states, McCain knows the election is over. Sure, McCain will erase the 8-10 point margin and "only" suffer a 2-3 point defeat.

Obama will win the majority of the close states by 2 points. That is the same margin Bush beat Gore in the previous election. All we are seeing is a national 2 point swing from the GOP to the DEM and nothing more.

____________________

NYCREALAMERICAN:

IA GA poll has decent cross tabs.

____________________

Rollin08:

boomshak I think your loosing it.. In more ways then one.

____________________

Viperlord:

Am I the only one who suspects identity theft? This boomshak is even more ridiculous than the last one.

____________________

ZanzibarBuckBuckMcFate:

Northeastern Republican:

"although i dont disagree that obama has a lead in this election, i think it is far to early to call it an obama blow out as so many of the more angry obama supporters here seem to project. theres still 12 days to go in this campaign - and remember what they say - a week is like a year in politics. literally anything can still happen - including an october suprise (let us not forget that there are still 4 law suits, at least 1 of which is in federal court, challenging obamas citizenship). i dont think anything will come from that but if the media finally does decide to discuss such an issue (bc lets be honest - even if it turns out to be a false claim, its more of an interesting issue than sarah palin's wardrobe) - undecideds could shift in a big way to mccain. and there are still a lot of undecideds out there, enough that they could make it a very close race in just a week. i think the obama campaign should be most concerned about undecideds based on the fact that in the primarys, undecideds went almost entirely for hillary - meaning many who wouldnt break for obama during the campaign wouldnt break for him at the votting both either."

11 days, actually, and to be honest this day is already a wash for McCain poll-wise, so it's - practically speaking - down to the last ten days - and at least two of those ten are probably going to largely center around Obama's network speech on the 29th. With that in mind McCain has 8 days to erase a 6-8 (at least) point lead and a 125+ EV deficit, which is essentially the largest lead Obama has had all year combined no signs whatsoever that the race is even seriously narrowing, let alone turning towards the GOP. Good luck to Mr. McCain.

And I wouldn't say people are confidently predicting a landslide, but a win? More than likely. Extremely likely, in fact. Every day that goes by makes it more and more overwhelmingly likely. Sure something COULD happen that would turn this race around, but all losing campaigns hope "something" happens in the final days to save them. Usually it doesn't. It always a sign that a candidate is going down for the count when the only plausible way supporters can imagine him/her winning is if the polls are completely in error, or engage in a vain hope that some catastrophic scandal breaks, even if nothing of the sort has happened - or even been hinted at as being at all likely - in the months and months prior to the end game.

____________________

MasterFramer:

Hey boobsack

Please explain how McCain wins the electoral collage. How he possibly runs the table in all the toss up states? You are either faking this mccain support or you eat paint chips for breakfast.

____________________

Viperlord:

Both.

____________________

ZanzibarBuckBuckMcFate:

MasterFramer:
"Hey boobsack

Please explain how McCain wins the electoral collage. How he possibly runs the table in all the toss up states? You are either faking this mccain support or you eat paint chips for breakfast."

The only way he can win is if he carries every last "red state" toss-up, snatches away Virgina and somehow manages to take a state now heavily favored for Obama. Which is odd, because based on the McCain's camps own statements and actions, they don't believe any of those states are in play - except for maybe PA, which obviously isn't. So the polls and McCains own people need to be quite wrong for him to win.

____________________

boomspin:

Rasmussen is a Democrat plant. Ignore him.

____________________

AtlantaBill:

@boomshak:
"Great News for McCain in Georgia .. "

Wow! I'm kinda new here but must confess I get a kick from the impersonal (not the personal ones) attacks unleashed at boomer. Even now, he refuses to acknowledge the failed policies of republicans over these past 8 years. The trickle-down philosophy of these failed nut cases (McGramps included) should be evident to even a moron. Boom's posts here clearly shows he is not one of those but they do however show that he is a big time ideologue that has bought into the failed Bush-McCain trickle-down policies.

Having taken my one shot at the boom, i say to him, keep those posts coming so the others can knee-cap you on a daily basis. Love it when they do and you run off into hiding.

By the way, is there any kind of clinical treatment programs out there for this dreaded Bush-McCain affliction - would really like to see folks like boom in some kind of recovery program that might give these folks some semblance of a good life in the future after 19th.

Good luck buddy ... we're rooting for you.

____________________

shirefox:

@C.S.Strowbridge

He may run out of cash before he runs out of time. Either way, he's screwed.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR