November 2, 2008
US: Obama 53, McCain 42 (Gallup 10/31-11/2)
USAToday/Gallup Poll
10/31-11/2/08; 2,472 Likely Voters, Margin of Error +/- 2%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
Gallup release; USA Today story, OnPolitics blog item
Likely Voters-Expanded:
Obama 53, McCain 42
Likely Voters-Traditional
Obama 53, McCain 42
USA Today reports: "Gallup says that when it allocates the 4% of likely voters who either had no opinion or would not choose between Obama and McCain, it estimates the candidates' current support levels would most likely be 55% for Obama, 44% for McCain."
Gallup's Jeff Jones confirms via email that this release also represents "the final Gallup Daily poll and final Gallup estimate. No more from us."
Survey dates corrected
By Mark Blumenthal on November 2, 2008 9:18 PM | Permalink
Comments
Gallup has been one of the more reliable pollsters throughout this season. This lead is blowout territory.
Remember Bush vs. Dukakis? That one was only 7 points.
This is the USA Today poll, right?
btw/ Obama just hit his highest point on Pollster's national average:
51.6%
That's it? I'll miss Gallup.
Um, the dates are wrong: it's 10/31-11/2.
From the article: "The interviews were conducted by telephone on Friday, Saturday and today."
Wilderness doesn't begin to describe what would happen to the GOP if they lost by 11% to a black man...
Obama should win this election and a landslide,but the media keep talking about how close this race is,give me a break,in my own poll i have Obama winning 55% to 41%.bush won the white vote by 18% in 2004,right now Mccain is only winning the white vote by 5%,that means Mccain is going to get killed.
Total devastation. Even if this poll is off by a lot, Obama is still gonna cruise to a win.
Let's see this as a "target value" and GET OUT THE VOTE!
deeproy,
You sounded so cute, but I have to agree. I'll miss Gallup polls too. This election really got into my daily routine. It's going to be hard finding something that's going to interest me as much.
What a climax!
Gallup's final poll +11% to Obama.
If this happens on November the 4th, one of the largest spreads in US political history.
Back to 64 when LBJ destroyed Goldwater.
@Ulysses
Amen to your observation. As to Sinclair Lewis's, it should be noted sadly that except for Hitler's Germany--where the Nazis had their own cross in the swastika--fascism has always come wrapped in the flag and the cross. That was the explicit symbolism in Spain, in Italy, in Chile, in Argentina. In the South American military regimes "Familia" ("family values" anyone?) was again explicitly added to "Patria" and "Iglesia" (fatherland and church) on the logo.
Monday's Daily Kos shows a six-point lead for Obama, but only a 4-point lead in the daily sample for the second day. Where do we post our predictions? I'm going with Kos/R2k as the most accurate, and a 6-point national win for Obama. Not that winning the national vote means anything -- just ask Al Gore -- but to get there he will have won enough electoral votes to be our next President.
55/44 wouldbe sweet and just plain crushing. I see it as 53/46 in the end.
Posted on November 2, 2008 9:45 PM