US: Obama 53, McCain 42 (Gallup 10/31-11/2)
Mark Blumenthal | November 2, 2008
Topics: PHome
USAToday/Gallup Poll
10/31-11/2/08; 2,472 Likely Voters, Margin of Error +/- 2%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
Gallup release; USA Today story, OnPolitics blog item
Likely Voters-Expanded:
Obama 53, McCain 42
Likely Voters-Traditional
Obama 53, McCain 42
USA Today reports: "Gallup says that when it allocates the 4% of likely voters who either had no opinion or would not choose between Obama and McCain, it estimates the candidates' current support levels would most likely be 55% for Obama, 44% for McCain."
Gallup's Jeff Jones confirms via email that this release also represents "the final Gallup Daily poll and final Gallup estimate. No more from us."
Survey dates corrected
By Mark Blumenthal | November 2, 2008 9:18 PM | Permalink | Comments (14) | TrackBacks (0)
Comments
55/44 wouldbe sweet and just plain crushing. I see it as 53/46 in the end.
Posted on November 2, 2008 9:45 PM
Gallup has been one of the more reliable pollsters throughout this season. This lead is blowout territory.
Remember Bush vs. Dukakis? That one was only 7 points.
Posted on November 2, 2008 9:48 PM
This is the USA Today poll, right?
btw/ Obama just hit his highest point on Pollster's national average:
51.6%
Posted on November 2, 2008 10:09 PM
That's it? I'll miss Gallup.
Posted on November 2, 2008 10:09 PM
Um, the dates are wrong: it's 10/31-11/2.
From the article: "The interviews were conducted by telephone on Friday, Saturday and today."
Posted on November 2, 2008 10:17 PM
Posted on November 2, 2008 10:21 PM
Wilderness doesn't begin to describe what would happen to the GOP if they lost by 11% to a black man...
Posted on November 2, 2008 10:35 PM
Obama should win this election and a landslide,but the media keep talking about how close this race is,give me a break,in my own poll i have Obama winning 55% to 41%.bush won the white vote by 18% in 2004,right now Mccain is only winning the white vote by 5%,that means Mccain is going to get killed.
Posted on November 2, 2008 10:39 PM
Total devastation. Even if this poll is off by a lot, Obama is still gonna cruise to a win.
Posted on November 2, 2008 11:17 PM
Let's see this as a "target value" and GET OUT THE VOTE!
Posted on November 3, 2008 12:53 AM
deeproy,
You sounded so cute, but I have to agree. I'll miss Gallup polls too. This election really got into my daily routine. It's going to be hard finding something that's going to interest me as much.
Posted on November 3, 2008 5:45 AM
What a climax!
Gallup's final poll +11% to Obama.
If this happens on November the 4th, one of the largest spreads in US political history.
Back to 64 when LBJ destroyed Goldwater.
Posted on November 3, 2008 8:14 AM
@Ulysses
Amen to your observation. As to Sinclair Lewis's, it should be noted sadly that except for Hitler's Germany--where the Nazis had their own cross in the swastika--fascism has always come wrapped in the flag and the cross. That was the explicit symbolism in Spain, in Italy, in Chile, in Argentina. In the South American military regimes "Familia" ("family values" anyone?) was again explicitly added to "Patria" and "Iglesia" (fatherland and church) on the logo.
Posted on November 3, 2008 8:24 AM
Monday's Daily Kos shows a six-point lead for Obama, but only a 4-point lead in the daily sample for the second day. Where do we post our predictions? I'm going with Kos/R2k as the most accurate, and a 6-point national win for Obama. Not that winning the national vote means anything -- just ask Al Gore -- but to get there he will have won enough electoral votes to be our next President.
Posted on November 3, 2008 9:30 AM
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