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VA: McDonnell 48 Deeds 40 (Mason-Dixon 10/6-8)


Mason Dixon Polling & Research / Richmond Times-Dispatch

10/6-8/09; 625 likely voters, +/- 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Times Dispatch article, cross-tabs; Virginia-Pilot article)

Virginia

2009 Governor
McDonnell 48%, Deeds 40% (chart)

 

Comments
RaleighNC:

That's a lot of "Undecided" voters. If the mantra that undecided voters generally trend anti-incumbent party, it's great new for McDonnell.

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tjampel:

Deeds went negative too early and too often; this coming week would have been a good time to unveil the thesis; too late of course; he shot his wad and now has the to carry the burden of being the one who went the most negative. Going negative is great when there's some new info to support it and it's close enough to election day to affect the minds of voters in the polling booth.

I predict McDonnell by 5-6%
Corzine by 2%

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Aaron_in_TX:

The only thing interesting in this VA race will be the turnout in NoVA and how heavily it factors in compared to other parts of the state.

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Stillow:

Hmmm, predictions.

Mine.

McDonnel wins by 7+
Christie by 4+

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RaleighNC:

Prediction bandwagon:

VA: McDonnell by 11% (helped by strong turnout from Richmond westard/southwestward).

NJ: Christie by 1% (with a lot of ballot disputes).

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Stillow:

I forgot about disputed ballots. The Dems go have a big advantage with fake votes. For a republican to win these days they have to win big, otherwise votes start shwoing up in the trunks of cars.....which usually just luckily lean dem heavily.

Who knows these days, with all the fake voters acorn has registered I have no idea anymore how close races will turn out.

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bongocongo:

OUTLIER!
WORTHLESS!

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jmartin4s:

Stillow here is a realistic prediction using some math, brains, and common sense.

Virginia
54% McDonnell
46% Deeds

New Jersey
42% Corzine
40% Christie
17% Daggett
1% Other

NY-23
41% Owens
40% Scozzafava
19% Hoffman

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Stillow:

What math did you use in NJ...since 9-1 polling shows christie winning. You Dems will be sorely disappointed with the NJ outcome.

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jmartin4s:

Stillow, according to intrade.com there is a 60% chance Corzine will win re-election. I don't think people would gamble their own money if they weren't confident in Corzine. You obviously have no understanding of northest politics at all.

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Stillow:

LOL.....hahahahah....well if intrade says corzine will win, then its over. Why have the election, let just call corzine the winner and save the state some money....

Man, you Dems........thanks for the belly laugh.

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Stillow:

I'm still getting a kick out of this. One of my racist and evil conservative co workers came into my office and I showed him....he wants to know if he can get his $300 back from taking Seattle +7 in superbowl XL....and his $500 backs from takign the Pats against the Giants a few years ago........

Heheheh, you Dems are great...I don't care what anyone tells you, I love you guys!

Tremendous stuff from you Dems lately.....absolutely tremendous!

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jmartin4s:

Stillow, your a teabagger from blood red Texas, if you had your way people like Rick Perry would rule this country and we'd all be broke, have no social security, no medicare, and be fighting a million wars that we cant afford.

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jmartin4s:

By the way your showing a very low level of intelligence by equating predicting an election with predicting a football game. So maybe you should STFU!

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Wong:

McDonnell by 6
Corzine by 4

Democrats usually finish better than the polls indicate in Jersey. I see Stillow is already starting to spin the loss. Good for a few laughs.

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Bigmike:

I don't know a thing about NE politics nor do I care too. I vaguely remember a Dem nominee for statewide office in NJ who was losing badly so he stepped aside and let the party chiefs replace him, even tho some applicable deadline had come and gone and it wasn't legal to do what was done. All in broad daylight. Makes you proud to be a NJ Dem, aye!

To the highest bidder go the spoils?

It worked last Nov when BO outspent JM 5-1.

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Stillow:

jmartin4s

heheeh, seriously, you are cracking me up. So what is perry's chances on intrade? Since you Dems are using gambling sites to make your predictions these days, can i get a call this week on seattle / arizona?

This just in, Obama won the Florida 2000 recount!

What a wacky day on here.

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RaleighNC:

Anyone see the debate last night? I read one snippet that said Deeds blew his chance, and McDonnell hammered him on taxes.

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